WWPS21 NFFN 220600

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 220835 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD10F CENTRE [1002HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 13.5S
160.4E AT 220600UTC. TD10F SLOW MOVING.

ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR WITH DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING PERSISTENT TO
THE NORTH AND EAST OF SUPPOSED LLCC. THE SYSTEM LIES IN AN AREA OF
LOW SHEAR, GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION EXTENDS TO 500HPA. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELSIUS. 

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHWARDS WITH
SOME INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW AND LOW TO MODERATE THEREAFTER.

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NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

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