WWPS21 NFFN 120900

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 121010 UTC.

****** TD03F CENTER RELOCATED BASED ON HY-2C SCATTEROMETER DATA *****

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD03F CENTER [1003HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 10.2S
163.6E AT 120600UTC. TD03F SLOW MOVING. POSITION FAIR BASED ON
HIMAWARI-9 IR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. 

THE SYSTEM LIES UNDER WEAK UPPER DIVERGENCE, LOW TO MODERATE SHEAR
WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES CELSIUS. THE SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED TO THE SOUTHEAST BY THE NEAR EQUATORIAL
RIDGE.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEASTWARDS
WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
LOW AND MODERATE AFTER 36 HRS.
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NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.