WTPN21 PGTW 031900

RMKS/

1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN

A 155 NM RADIUS OF 19.4N 119.4E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL

CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO

BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 031800Z INDICATES THAT A

CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 119.5E. THE SYSTEM IS

MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS.

2. REMARKS:

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS.

MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE

POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE

WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.

3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 041900Z.

//

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9825062800 144N1395E  15

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9825062818 150N1374E  15

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9825062906 150N1358E  15

9825062912 150N1348E  20

9825062918 152N1341E  20

9825063000 152N1325E  20

9825063006 147N1302E  15

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9825070100 159N1268E  15

9825070106 167N1257E  15

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9825070118 170N1242E  20

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9825070212 182N1231E  20

9825070218 190N1230E  20

9825070300 197N1224E  20

9825070306 204N1218E  20

9825070312 202N1204E  20

9825070318 195N1195E  20

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