FXUS65 KREV 220904 AFDREV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 204 AM PDT Sun Mar 22 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... * Warmer than normal temperatures prevail throughout the week with more daily records possible. * Gusty afternoon winds and renewed impacts to recreation and travel return Monday through Wednesday. * Dry conditions prevail through next weekend with wetter weather possible around first of April, but confidence is low. && .DISCUSSION... Without a drastic change in our governing weather pattern, temperatures will continue to trend well above normal this week amid persistent western ridging. A brief warming trend begins after today and lasts through midweek, presenting more opportunities to set new daily records during the first half of the week and perhaps again next weekend. An eastward shift in high pressure will allow stronger W/SW flow to overspread the region early this week, encouraging increased breezes each afternoon Monday through Wednesday. Similar high probabilities (60% chance or better) of 30+ mph gusts will exist across NE California and far NW Nevada each these afternoons with strongest winds slightly favored on Tuesday and Wednesday. Expect renewed impacts to lake recreation and air/ground travel early next week. Temperatures cool on Thursday in the wake of a cold frontal passage, but will still only come within 5-15F of seasonal averages. And that seems to be as close as we'll get to seasonable temperatures this week as we slowly warm into next weekend. Still no sign of rain or snow until the final couple of days of March when ensembles depict a shift to western troughing. Blended guidance corroborates this as precip chances increase around March 30-31. Confidence is very low, however, as guidance has had a recent tendency to delay this pattern change, so we'll have to wait and see how models handle this signal. -Salas && .AVIATION... Widespread VFR conditions prevail today with light east winds in the morning becoming breezy SW/W winds (10-15 kts) in the afternoon. The potential for wind impacts should increase in the afternoons Monday through Wednesday as a W/SW belt of 20-40 kt FL100 winds supports increased surface breezes. -Salas && .CLIMATE... * Monthly record set at Reno: - Reno, NV: New record of 88F. The old monthly record was 86F on 3/18/2026 * Monthly record set at South Lake Tahoe: - South Lake Tahoe, CA: New record of 76F. The old monthly record was 71F on 3/30/2015 New daily record high temperatures and the previous daily record high temperatures for Reno and South Lake Tahoe: Date Reno NV South Lake Tahoe CA ---- ------------ ------------------- 3/17 82F (old 78F in 2007) 69F (old 65F in 2007) 3/18 86F (old 77F in 1947) 76F (old 63F in 2004) 3/19 85F (old 77F in 1997) 72F (old 65F in 2015) 3/20 88F (old 81F in 2004) 72F (old 68F in 1997) 3/21 81F (old 80F in 2004) 70F (old 68F in 1997) 3/22 77F - 2004 65F - 2004 3/23 77F - 2022 66F - 2022 3/24 80F - 2022 65F - 2022 3/25 81F - 2022 67F - 2022 ------------------------------------------------------- New daily record warmest low temperatures and the previous daily record warmest low temperatures for Reno and South Lake Tahoe: Date Reno NV South Lake Tahoe CA ---- ------------ ------------------- 3/18 48F - 1904 37F - 2021 3/19 46F - 2013 38F - 2013 3/20 47F - 2013 35F - 2013 3/21 50F (old 46F in 2015) 38F - 1972 3/22 50F - 2012 40F - 2012 3/23 46F - 2000 40F - 1998 3/24 45F - 2006 40F - 1986 3/25 52F - 1893 38F - 2008 ------------------------------------------------------- && .REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NV...None. CA...None. && $$