FXUS65 KREV 022046

AFDREV



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Reno NV

1246 PM PST Mon Feb 2 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



* High pressure overhead will bring dry conditions, above average

  afternoon highs,light winds, and valley inversions through this

  week.



* The high pressure may weaken by this weekend with precipitation

  chances returning by the second week of February, but 

  confidence is low. 



&&



.DISCUSSION...



Not a whole lot going on in the forecast in the next 5-6 days. 

high pressure remains overhead this week, keeping western NV and 

the Sierra dry and relatively warm. High temperatures will hover 

around 60 for lower NV valleys and around 50-55 for Sierra valleys

this week. Winds will remain light and variable this week, with 

air stagnation and valley inversions noticeable in the mornings 

and afternoons. 



So when will we see our next storm? Well, ensembles and even long 

range deterministic models are showing the possibility of our next 

(and weak looking) system moving in as early as the 6th or 7th of 

February. That probability is pretty low right now due to the 

discrepancies in the track of the low pressure off the coast. 

However, where confidence is higher, is a couple days later around 

the 9th of February. Models are in better agreement about a fairly 

moderate cold front moving through some time around Monday the 9th, 

if not earlier on Sunday the 8th. We'll keep an eye on this storm as 

it gets closer, but just know for now that there could be additional 

snow for the Sierra coming early next week.



-Justin



&&



.AVIATION...



VFR conditions and light winds continue through this week. The only 

exception will be at KTRK where lower CIGS/VIS is possible due to 

patchy FZFG development between 09-16Z tonight. Haze will linger 

around KRNO and possibly KTRK and CXP as well in the mornings and 

early afternoons. 



-Justin



&&



.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

NV...None.

CA...None.

&&



$$