FXUS65 KPUB 122101 AFDPUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 201 PM MST Fri Dec 12 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Temperatures warming up for tomorrow. - Spotty critical fire conditions possible Saturday, with better chance of critical fire weather conditions Wednesday. - Chances of light snow showers possibly returning to the central mountains into the middle of next week. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... Issued at 156 PM MST Fri Dec 12 2025 Rest of Today through Tomorrow... Dry weather is expected through tomorrow. High temperatures mainly in the M60s to L60s over the plains today will be replaced with M/U60s tomorrow as downslope flow increases somewhat, especially along the I-25 corridor region in the early part of the day, with Min RH values falling into the L10s to single digits across the I-25 corridor region. Although winds are generally expected to remain below critical fire weather tomorrow, there will be some gap flow winds at or near critical values, especially earlier in the day. By late tomorrow morning into the afternoon. another backdoor cool front will push across the region, with surface wind flow becoming upslope by late in the day. Td values will begin to increase by later in the afternoon. \/Hodanish. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 212 AM MST Fri Dec 12 2025 Saturday... Increasing flow northwest flow aloft will mix out across the plains through the morning, with breezy gap flows and much drier air leading to spotty critical fire weather conditions across the portions of the I-25 Corridor late Saturday morning, before another dry backdoor cold front moves across the plains, shifting the winds more easterly direction through the afternoon. The timing of this front remains in question, with the latest guidance quickly warming temperatures into the 60s across the plains early Saturday afternoon, before slowly cooling behind the front into the late afternoon. Further west, dry conditions with at and above seasonal temperatures in the 30s, 40s and 50s will persist on Saturday. Saturday Night and Sunday.. We cool back down from Saturday into Sunday somewhat, especially for overnight lows. Most areas will be closer to normal, with temperatures dipping into the teens for mountain valleys and teens to 20s for the plains. Our highs on Sunday will also be cooler than Saturday, though still several degrees warmer than normal. The San Luis Valley looks to warm into the mid and upper 40s, with 50s and low 60s spreading across the plains. Sunday will be very mild, with dry but not windy conditions, and mostly sunny skies. Overall, a very nice weekend unless you are craving wintry weather. Monday Onwards.. Still no mention of winter through this section of the forecast either. A weak trough looks to push in from the four corners region on Monday, dipping down into Texas by Tuesday, but this system is not forecast to bring much in the way of moisture. We could potentially see some cloud cover and a slight dip in temperatures as its passing, but that may be the only noticeable change in weather for us. After it passes, zonal flow sets up for the second half of the work week. Increasing westerly flow aloft will lead to another bout of above normal temperatures for at least Wednesday through Friday, along with breezy winds over and near the mountains. Fire weather may become a concern on Wednesday with increasing downslope flow and lowering RH values. One other result of prolonged westerly flow would be chances for light snow across west facing slopes of the central mountains, though without any major forcing or moisture coming in, accumulations would be negligible. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1017 AM MST Fri Dec 12 2025 Besides some passing cirrus clouds, VFR conditions are expected during the next 24 hours at all 3 taf sites, KPUB, KALS and KCOS. Winds will be quite light and diurnally driven. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...HODANISH LONG TERM...EHR/HODANISH AVIATION...HODANISH