FXUS65 KLKN 120911 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 111 AM PST Fri Dec 12 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 102 AM PST Fri Dec 12 2025 * Unseasonably warm temperatures continue to threaten records across the area * Fair weather and light winds are forecast through the weekend * Next chance for precipitation will be next week && .UPDATE... Issued at 102 AM PST Fri Dec 12 2025 The current forecast is on track and no significant updates are required. && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Wednesday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: High pressure continues to dominate the short term forecast keeping winds light and temperatures unseasonably warm for December in Nevada. Several daily high temperature records have already fallen this week at many climate sites in the region and more may be broken through the rest of the week. Afternoon highs under this persistent ridge will continue to top out in the mid 50s to mid 60s across the area. The ridge will finally push through the state and eastward Saturday night into Sunday. Sunday evening a developing shortwave will pass through southern NV but the area is moisture starved and no impacts are expected on central or northern Nevada other than a shift to northerly flow aloft over the state Monday. The next potential for impactful weather occurs next week. Zonal flow over the western CONUS increases Tuesday as the southern edge of a large embedded jet creeps into Nevada from the north. Riding the broad zonal axis of the parent ULT will be a series of developing shortwaves. The first will begin to impact the region Monday night with a sharp moisture increase from northwest to southeast. Cloud cover and moisture availability is in place on Tuesday especially in northern Nevada where precipitation chances will increase through the day. Precipitation on Tuesday and Wednesday morning will be mainly rain save for the highest elevations of northern Nevada. The second wave Wednesday night and Thursday will provide colder air and a better chance for snow around 6500 feet. Precipitation amounts currently are very preliminary and with the amount of disagreement in long term ensemble clusters, not very trustworthy. Clusters are divided on how far south the storm track will dip next week with about half bringing the track further south and the others keeping the track further north over Idaho and Montana. The grand ensemble bisects the Silver State with a ridge south and the axis of the parent ULT over northern Nevada. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence continues for unusually warm seasonal temperatures to persist into the weekend. Low confidence remains in timing and amounts for next week's potential impacts from active weather for the area. No major changes needed with grids at this time. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions persist through the next 24 hours under high pressure with no precipitation forecast at any terminals through the period. Afternoon winds will be light at all terminals as well with wind speeds generally at or below 10KTs. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...92 AVIATION...92