FXUS65 KFGZ 221943

AFDFGZ



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ

1243 PM MST Sun Mar 22 2026



.SYNOPSIS...Summer-like high pressure will continue this week, 

with temperatures reaching up to 25 degrees above normal. Please 

exercise appropriate precautions if you are planning on any 

outdoor activity. Breezy southwest winds and low humidity are also

expected.



&&



.DISCUSSION...Passing trough to the north has temporarily

flattened and shoved our ridge to the south. This, along with some

mid and high level clouds has definitely cooled our temperatures

off a good 5-10 degrees from the last few days, however we're

still in record heat territory, and will continue to remain so for

the rest of the week. On Tuesday the ridge will begin to flex back

northward with temperatures again flirting with 80 up at 7000 ft

and near 90 around 5000 ft by Wednesday. A slow cooldown begins

Thursday into the weekend as another weak shortwave brushes by

weakening and shoving the ridge back south again.



There are some indications in the long range models of an increase

in moisture possibly as soon as next Sunday. Confidence is still

very low on precipitation and what we do get would most likely be

in the form of rain. However its the only glimmer of hope at this

time for some much needed precipitation for the area. Will keep 

monitoring and will see if this does indeed pan out.



&&



.AVIATION...Sunday 22/18Z through Monday 23/18Z...VFR conditions.

Winds SW to W at 5-15 kts gusting to 20 kts through 02Z, becoming 

light and variable overnight.



OUTLOOK...Monday 23/18Z through Wednesday 25/18Z...VFR conditions

are forecast. Daytime winds SW to W at 10-15 kts gusting to 20-25

kts, becoming light and variable each night.



&&



.FIRE WEATHER...Monday and Tuesday...Very dry with little change in 

record setting high temperatures. West-southwest winds 10-15 mph 

gusting 20-25 mph Monday decreasing to 5-10 mph gusting to 20 mph on 

Tuesday. Minimum RH 7-12% each afternoon. 

  

Wednesday through Friday...High temperatures will gradually cool but 

remain in the realm of record setting. Daytime winds west-southwest 

at 10-15 mph, with gusts 20-25 mph. Minimum RH values 6-13% each 

afternoon. The continuation of unseasonable heat and very dry 

conditions will dry out fuels with elevated fire weather conditions 

possible.



&&



.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM MST this evening for AZZ006-037.



&&



$$



PUBLIC...Bernhart

AVIATION...McCollum

FIRE WEATHER...McCollum



For Northern Arizona weather information visit

weather.gov/flagstaff