FXUS65 KFGZ 071054

AFDFGZ



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ

354 AM MST Thu May 7 2026



.SYNOPSIS...Fair and much warmer weather moves in today and 

will continue into next week.



&&



.DISCUSSION...High pressure will dominate the weather across

northern Arizona over the coming days with dry weather, mainly 

clear skies and much above average temperatures.



Today through early next week...Under the influence of high

pressure aloft temperatures will range from 10 to 15 degrees 

above average through Tuesday or Wednesday of next week. Even with

dry conditions low temperatures will range from 5 to 10 degrees 

above average, thus is the warmth of the coming air mass. As

mentioned, most locations will see dry conditions into next week.

However, models continue to show the ridge axis shifting east of 

Arizona with a more southerly flow eventually developing. This 

could open the door to a slight increase in moisture and the 

potential for high-based showers and thunderstorms by Monday or 

Tuesday, mainly over the eastern Mogollon Rim and White 

Mountains. Expect light and variable winds today but for the 

remainder of the period, typical spring breezes at 10 to 20 mph 

each afternoon.



&&



.AVIATION...Thursday 07/12Z through Friday 08/12Z...VFR

conditions expected. Winds light and variable, generally less 

than 10 kts through the period.



OUTLOOK...Friday 08/12Z through Sunday 10/12Z...VFR conditions

forecast. Daytime winds W to NW at 10-20 kts, light and variable 

or terrain driven at night.



&&



.FIRE WEATHER...Today and Friday...Dry conditions and turning 

warmer. Light and variable winds today becoming west/northwest at 

5-15 mph on Friday. Minimum afternoon RH 8-15% both days.



Saturday through Monday...Warm and mainly dry conditions. By Monday, 

the White Mountains area could see high-based showers/thunderstorms. 

We'll keep you posted. Winds west/northwest at 10-20 mph on 

Saturday, light and variable on Sunday, then becoming southwest 5-15 

mph on Monday. Minimum afternoon RH 5-15% each day.



&&



.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.



&&



$$



PUBLIC...McCollum

AVIATION...McCollum

FIRE WEATHER...McCollum



For Northern Arizona weather information visit

weather.gov/flagstaff