FXUS64 KSJT 090734 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 234 AM CDT Fri May 9 2025 ...New LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... - Mostly dry today through the weekend with below normal temperatures. - Significant change to hotter temperatures early to middle next week, with dry conditions. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Friday) Issued at 150 PM CDT Thu May 8 2025 Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms continue across southern portions of the area, as an upper level trough tracks across the region. Although widespread severe weather is not anticipated, a strong to severe storm is possible, mainly across the northern Edwards Plateau. Locally heavy rainfall is also possible within any thunderstorms. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will linger into the evening hours, mainly across the I-10 corridor. Rain chances will shift south of the area by mid to late evening, with mainly dry conditions overnight. A few showers, and a possible thunderstorm, may linger into the morning hours Friday, but generally dry conditions are forecast to persist. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 50s. Below normal temperatures will continue on Friday, with highs generally in the && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 232 AM CDT Fri May 9 2025 An upper low to our east will meander over Louisiana this weekend. An upper level ridge will be centered over the southwestern states and extend into the central Plains. Our area will have generally northerly flow aloft, between these two systems. Northerly surface winds will be maintained with surface high pressure extending from the Midwest southwest into the western half of Texas. With this setup, below normal temperatures will continue for our area with cool nights and pleasant days. Highs will be in the mid to upper 70s Saturday, and mid 70s to lower 80s Sunday. Skies will be mostly clear overall, with some patchy clouds possible at times over our eastern counties. Changes in the upper level pattern will result in a significant change to much hotter temperatures for our area next week. The aforementioned upper will lift northeast into the Ohio Valley Tuesday into Wednesday. The aforementioned upper ridge will shift east over Texas and the Southern Plains in the early to mid-week time frame, while an upstream deep upper trough gradually moves east across the western CONUS. The notable warming trend will begin Monday when our winds switch around to the south. The summer-like heat comes Tuesday and Wednesday when a strong 850mb thermal ridge expands east over our area. With generally clear skies each day, highs are expected to be in the mid 90s to 100 degrees Tuesday, and in the upper 90s to 103 degrees Wednesday. This would be the first occurrence of triple digit temperatures this year in our area. Preliminary indications are for temperatures to remain above normal by several degrees or more late in the week, and portions of the area may have some possibility of thunderstorms toward the weekend. Without delving into the details this far out, will just briefly mention that our area may get into southwest flow aloft by that time. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1250 AM CDT Fri May 9 2025 VFR conditions expected the next 24 hours. Expect mainly light and variable winds overnight, with breezy north winds developing by mid to late morning, with gusts near 20 knots through afternoon. Winds will diminish by early evening. Could see some spotty showers and isolated thunderstorms just about anywhere this afternoon but due to limited coverage, will not mention in the forecast at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 75 53 77 51 / 10 0 0 0 San Angelo 78 51 79 49 / 10 0 0 0 Junction 80 52 79 49 / 10 0 10 0 Brownwood 74 53 77 51 / 10 0 10 0 Sweetwater 76 54 77 51 / 10 0 0 0 Ozona 76 52 77 49 / 10 0 0 0 Brady 77 54 77 51 / 10 0 10 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Daniels LONG TERM....19 AVIATION...24