FXUS64 KSJT 030544

AFDSJT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service San Angelo TX

1244 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025



...New LONG TERM...



.KEY MESSAGES... 



- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will persist across the area

  this afternoon and evening.  

 

- Heavy rainfall is possible with the stronger cells, which may

  result in localized flooding. 



- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible

  Thursday through Friday, with warm and humid conditions 

  persisting.



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(This evening through Thursday)

Issued at 103 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025



As of 1 PM, several bands of showers and a few thunderstorms were

lifting north across roughly the southern half of the forecast

area. This is in response to a weak disturbance lifting north out

of Mexico, within a plume of tropical moisture from the remnants 

of Tropical Storm Barry. This activity will continue to lift north

this afternoon, with additional showers and storms likely 

developing. A very moist airmass (Precipitable Water 2.0-2.25 

inches) will contribute to locally heavy downpours and a threat 

for some localized flooding at times this afternoon. Rain chances 

will persist tonight but areal coverage should be a bit lower due 

to the diurnal nature. Another round of showers and storms will be

possible again tomorrow, especially during the afternoon hours 

once again. Precipitable water values will remain very high, so 

localized flooding will again be a concern tomorrow. Warm and 

humid conditions will persist through tomorrow, with lows tonight 

mainly in the lower 70s, and highs tomorrow afternoon in the 80s.



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Friday through Wednesday)

Issued at 1240 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025



The upper-level ridge will begin to gradually shift back westward,

decreasing rain chances for the Holiday weekend and into early

next week. Some scattered diurnal showers and isolated storms are

possible for the afternoon/evening hours on the 4th, so there may

be some rain lingering around for fireworks on Friday Night. As 

we move into the weekend and early next week, expect mostly warmer

and drier conditions with high temperatures returning in the 90s 

through Tuesday. By Wednesday, high temperatures will start to 

approach the triple digits again across the Big Country through 

the end of next week, with continued dry conditions.



&&



.AVIATION...

(06Z TAFS)

Issued at 1229 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025



VFR to MVFR ceilings with rain showers will continue to be the

main concern for the next 24 hours. Ceilings and visibilities 

look to go IFR later this morning through this afternoon. However,

low visibilities should be short-lived in the heavier showers that

occur.



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Abilene     84  73  86  72 /  80  50  60  10 

San Angelo  84  71  88  71 /  70  50  50  10 

Junction    84  72  87  71 /  70  50  50  10 

Brownwood   85  73  86  72 /  60  50  50  10 

Sweetwater  84  72  89  72 /  70  50  50  10 

Ozona       81  70  86  70 /  60  50  40  10 

Brady       83  71  85  71 /  60  50  50  10 



&&



.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.

&&



$$



SHORT TERM...24

LONG TERM....TP

AVIATION...SK