FXUS64 KSJT 021839

AFDSJT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service San Angelo TX

1239 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026



...New SHORT TERM...



.KEY MESSAGES... 



- Breezy south-southwest winds this afternoon. Breezy again on

  Tuesday with north winds behind a morning cold frontal passage.

 

- Overall warming trend for this upcoming week, especially by the

  weekend. 



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(This evening through Tuesday)

Issued at 1238 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026



An upper shortwave trough is moving east into our area this 

afternoon, and is accompanied by high and some mid-level cloud 

cover. Our area has gusty south-southwest winds this afternoon, with 

an increased pressure gradient and lee surface trough to our west. 



South to southwest winds will continue tonight, at decreased speeds 

for our central and southern counties but remaining gusty (until 

late tonight) in the Big Country. Low-level moisture return is 

underway today, and expect low cloud development overnight into 

Tuesday morning over our southern, southeastern and east-central 

counties. A large and broad upper trough is over most of the 

eastern half of the CONUS today. A disturbance will dive down the 

back side of this trough into the central High Plains on Tuesday. 

With this setup, a weak cold front will move south across west-

central Texas Tuesday morning. Winds will shift to northwest and 

north with the frontal passage, and expect increased and gusty 

winds from late morning into the afternoon. After low cloud 

breakup around mid-morning, skies will be mostly area wide on 

Tuesday. Temperatures on Tuesday will be a little cooler than 

today across the Big Country, with little change for areas farther

south. Expect highs Tuesday afternoon to be generally in the 

lower to mid 60s with the cooler readings in the Big Country. 



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Tuesday night through next Monday)

Issued at 1223 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026



Generally quiet weather with warmer than normal temperatures 

through the bulk of the extended forecast, although we will have a

couple cold fronts move through. 



An upper level shortwave is moving across TX today, bringing some

mid and upper level clouds into the area. Another shortwave 

trough is also moving toward the central plains from the western 

CONUS. This second trough will send a cold front into the area 

tomorrow, shifting winds to the north and bringing cooler air into

the region. From Tuesday into Wednesday, a large-scale trough 

will deepen over the eastern United States, allowing for another 

minor surge of cooler air into the area Wednesday afternoon and 

evening. Wednesday should be our coolest day of the week, with 

highs ranging from the upper 50s north of I-20 to the mid 60s 

along I-10. As winds diminish overnight, temperatures will fall to

around freezing Thursday morning. 



From Thursday through the weekend, we will have a warming trend, 

with highs in the 70s for Saturday and Sunday. The next chance for

precipitation looks like early next week as an upper level low 

moves over the area, but chances are still low at this point.



&&



.AVIATION...

(18Z TAFS)

Issued at 1152 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026



Breezy south-southwest winds, which developed this morning, will

continue through late afternoon. South to southwest winds are

expected tonight at decreased speeds at all of our TAF sites

except KABI, where winds will remain gusty through much of the

night. Low cloud development is expected overnight into Tuesday

morning over our southern, southeastern and east-central counties. 

Expect ceilings to be in the IFR category at KSOA, and MVFR at

KJCT and KBBD. Low cloud cover will break up around mid-morning 

Tuesday. A weak cold front will move south across west-central

Texas on Tuesday morning, reaching KABI around 12Z, KSJT by 15Z, 

and KBBD and KJCT around 17Z. North or north-northwest winds will

follow passage of this cold front. Winds will become gusty at 

KABI after 15Z, and KSJT and KSJT by 18Z. 



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Abilene     42  63  35  58 /   0   0   0   0 

San Angelo  42  65  33  62 /   0   0   0   0 

Junction    47  67  33  64 /   0   0   0   0 

Brownwood   44  65  32  60 /   0   0   0   0 

Sweetwater  42  62  37  58 /   0   0   0   0 

Ozona       42  65  35  63 /   0   0   0   0 

Brady       49  64  36  60 /   0   0   0   0 



&&



.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.

&&



$$



SHORT TERM...19

LONG TERM....20

AVIATION...19