FXUS64 KSHV 271141 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 641 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1100 PM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025 - Lowering visibility from fog looks likely again tonight and into Monday morning. - Rain returns to the area on Tuesday ahead of a cold front with gusty winds and cooler temperatures behind it. - Dry and cool conditions continue through the rest of the week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1116 PM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025 Near calm winds resulting from high pressure firmly established across the region along with increased low-level moisture from recent rainfall will allow for the potential for overnight fog across much of the ArkLaTex. Expect mild overnight lows averaging in the mid 50s. Northwest flow to persist aloft through Monday allowing for dry conditions areawide. A combination of dissipating fog and low clouds will persist through the morning with skies improving thereafter. High temperatures are forecast to range from the mid 60s across south Arkansas, where ceilings may be slower to break and the airmass is slightly cooler, to the lower 80s across Deep East Texas. Upper-flow to become zonal on Monday night into Tuesday as an upper- low dives southeast into the Plains. A surface front translating east across the ArkLaTex ahead of the upper-low will allow for increased showers and thunderstorms across much of the region on Tuesday into Tuesday night. Big changes expected on Wednesday as high pressure rebuilds behind the departing front bringing elevated winds areawide followed by much cooler temperatures. Winds to gradually diminish through Thursday with high temperatures averaging in the 60s with overnight lows in the mid 30s to near 40. A gradual warming trend is expected through the weekend as the surface high shifts east and southerly flow returns. /05/ && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 637 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025 A mix of patchy dense fog, LIFR/IFR/MVFR ceilings and even VFR conditions are making the 12z TAF package a nightmare to begin the morning but improving conditions will prevail by later this morning into the afternoon hours. Look for VFR conditions to prevail at all locations by later this morning and I would not be surprised to see a few locations not become VFR until 18z. Otherwise do not think we will have the fog issue overnight tonight, at least not dense fog as we should have increasing ceilings near the 3-5kft height that would preclude dense fog from occurring. Otherwise...look for light and variable winds today with speeds generally under 6kts or so. 13 && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1104 PM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025 Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 77 61 80 51 / 0 10 70 20 MLU 74 56 78 49 / 0 0 60 60 DEQ 70 54 67 44 / 0 40 80 20 TXK 72 57 73 47 / 0 10 80 20 ELD 70 53 72 45 / 0 0 80 40 TYR 79 62 77 49 / 0 10 50 10 GGG 78 59 79 48 / 0 10 70 10 LFK 83 60 83 49 / 0 0 70 20 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...05 AVIATION...13