FXUS64 KSHV 220454 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1154 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 ...New DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1254 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 - Warm and breezy conditions continue for us this weekend. - A weak cold front will backdoor cooler northeast and easterly winds into our Four-State area to start the new work week. - Winds will shift right back to southeasterly with a renewed warming trend as the dry weather pattern lingers all week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1108 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 Tonight will be another clear and cool night across the region. A tightening sfc pressure gradient will keep winds up through the night and bring enough moisture for another round of low clouds from the south by daybreak. Widespread fog development doesn't look likely with the elevated winds, but some patches of fog in rural/low-lying areas can't be ruled out. Clouds should begin tonight out after sunrise and mostly clear by midday Sunday. Sunday will be another day of potential record-breaking temperatures with clear skies by the afternoon. Surface winds will be gusty out of the southwest, which will advect dry air into some of out northwestern zones. Both the winds and the low RH's raise the fire weather concerns for Sunday afternoon, so the Fire Danger Statement will continue through at least the rest of the weekend. Monday will bring a short-lived cooldown in the form of a backdooring cold front form the north. The cold front is only expected to propagate just north of the I-20 corridor at this time. However, models are beginning to agree that increased moisture wrap around will bring more cloud cover to the entire region, which will help mitigate some of the daytime heating that would otherwise be expected. Temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 70s for the northern third of the region and in the lower 80s elsewhere Monday afternoon. The moisture return previously discussed will unfortunately not be enough for any rain to accompany this front. Temperatures will begin to rebound again, climbing back into the upper 80s by Wednesday afternoon. After which, a stronger cold front looks to backdoor into the region Friday. This could bring back cooler temperatures and more cloud cover should it verify. This front also looks like it will be devoid of rain, which will continue to prolong and worsen our current drought. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 704 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 VFR will continue across the airspace through the early evening ahead of a return of low clouds overnight and through the morning hours. This will support a mix of IFR/LIFR CIGs advancing northward, with VFR recovery expected by the late morning and into the early afternoon hours. While slight decoupling is expected this evening, breezy S/SW terminal winds will continue again tomorrow as sustained 10-15kt winds will be accompanied by 20-25kt gusts through the day. KNAPP && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1254 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 There will continue to be an elevated wildfire threat across our Four-State area through Sunday. This is largely due to our ongoing extreme and severe drought conditions, maintaining very dry fuels. Our sustained winds from south and southwest will be near 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. This elevated wildfire threat will be maximized during the late morning and especially afternoon hours during peak heating with lowering humidity. The Fire Danger Statement remains in place across our Four-State area through Sunday. Monday will see much lighter shifting winds. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1254 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 Spotter activation is not expected at this time, but the wildfire threat remains this weekend across our Four-State area due to the ongoing extreme drought conditions. Please report any wildfire activity to your local fire department and other local officials. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 87 62 87 61 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 86 61 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 87 57 89 56 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 89 64 90 63 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 86 60 87 59 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 89 63 89 61 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 88 61 88 59 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 85 61 85 59 / 0 0 0 0 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...57 AVIATION...53