FXUS64 KSHV 021652

AFDSHV



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Shreveport LA

1152 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025



...New DISCUSSION...



.KEY MESSAGES...

Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025



 - A mostly dry remainder of the week is in store, aside from an 

isolated afternoon thunderstorm or two. 



 - Heat will increase going into the holiday weekend, with heat 

indices in the triple digits, posing a potential hazard for outdoor 

activity. 



 - Rainfall amounts will be generally below an inch through the 

forecast period. 



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 1129 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025



An upper-level ridge is still firmly in place over the Ark-La-Tx

and bringing sunny and warm weather with it. Temperatures will be

in the low to mid 90s in the afternoons and the mid to upper 70s

overnight as we approach the holiday weekend. Some typical 

diurnal thunderstorms will still be possible in the afternoons, 

along with some greater rain chances along our north and 

northeastern zones overnight on Thursday. I did increase PoPs a 

bit for these pop-up showers, especially in our western zones to 

better align with recent short-range guidance and FWD. Even with 

the relatively limited rain in the forecast for Independence Day, 

the public should be aware of the heat and prepare to take steps 

to mitigate heat-related illnesses during festivities.



This trend will continue into next week as the ridge begins to

move eastward. The afternoon thunderstorm chances will shift to

favor the eastern side of the region beginning on Monday and

continue through the week. Next week also has a return of

widespread 100+ degree apparent temps, but the NBM has been 

running a touch hot in the long term so any heat products will be 

issued if confidence of these temperatures increases. /57/



&&



.AVIATION...

(12Z TAFS)

Issued at 613 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025



For the 02/12z TAF update...Most terminals are reporting SKC, but

I have prevailed BKN200-250 this morning due to some high clouds

in the area, which are setting up for an amazing sunrise this

morning. VFR conditions currently prevail for all terminals except

for KMLU where some fog has developed, bringing CIGs down to 100

feet and visibility down to 2 miles or lower this morning. Thought

the same might happen for KELD this morning too, however, they

have been just fine with no issues. Things should return to VFR

for KMLU later this morning. Another cu field is expected to

develop this afternoon that will bring SCT clouds at around 5k

feet or lower at times. /33/



&&



.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025



Spotter activation is not expected at this time. 



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

SHV  79  96  78  93 /   0  20  20  10 

MLU  76  95  75  93 /   0  20  10  10 

DEQ  72  90  71  90 /  20  30  10  20 

TXK  76  95  75  93 /  10  20  10  10 

ELD  75  93  73  93 /  10  30  10  10 

TYR  76  94  75  91 /   0  20  20  10 

GGG  76  94  75  92 /   0  20  20  10 

LFK  75  95  76  92 /   0  20  20  10 



&&



.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AR...None.

LA...None.

OK...None.

TX...None.

&&



$$



DISCUSSION...57

AVIATION...33