FXUS64 KSHV 020523 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1223 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 - A mostly dry remainder of the week is in store, aside from an isolated afternoon thunderstorm or two. - Heat will increase going into the holiday weekend, with heat indices in the triple digits, posing a potential hazard for outdoor activity. - Rainfall amounts will be generally below an inch through the forecast period. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 Pronounced upper level ridging will maintain a mostly dry and increasingly hot pattern for the ArkLaTex through the remainder of the week, going into the holiday weekend. Tonight, under partly cloudy skies, lows look to only drop into the lower 70s north and mid to upper 70s elsewhere. Another round of low to middle 90s are in store Wednesday afternoon, while the subsident effects of an upper level high should inhibit afternoon thunderstorm development. As this first week of July continues, very little change will be evident in the day to day pattern. Thursday afternoon may see a few isolated thunderstorms push up from the south, with impacts, if any, largely confined to the Toledo Bend area, while highs once again climb into the low to middle 90s. The aforementioned upper level ridge will take its time pushing east across the CONUS, its axis positioned almost directly overhead going into Friday. The good news is that the ridge should keep at bay any thunderstorms, making for good conditions for fireworks shows. However, this dry holiday forecast will be accompanied by persistent heat, which will need to be taken into consideration when planning outdoor activity, especially for vulnerable groups such as young children and the elderly. This heat will only increase going into the weekend, with guidance suggesting highs in the mid to upper 90s across the region. As the weekend comes to an end and the new work week begins, the high looks to release the ArkLaTex from its grasp as it gets nudged eastward, reopening the door to southerly flow and returning the ArkLaTex to that classic summertime pattern of afternoon sea breeze driven convection across our southern and eastern zones. While we should see a break from the upper 90s, afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s will persist, with lows in the 70s throughout. /26/ && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1024 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 For the 02/00z TAF period...Convection around KELD/KMLU has finally diminished. However, leftover cloud debris from earlier storms will remain across the area overnight. With saturated soils from earlier rainfall and light winds, can't rule out some low clouds and patchy fog at KELD/KMLU, but this fog should lift by mid-morning. Some additional convection will be possible tomorrow afternoon, but decided not to include in TAF at this time due to its expected isolated coverage. /20/ && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 96 78 95 77 / 10 10 10 10 MLU 94 75 94 74 / 10 0 10 0 DEQ 91 72 90 71 / 0 10 10 0 TXK 95 76 94 74 / 0 0 10 0 ELD 93 73 92 73 / 0 0 10 0 TYR 94 76 92 75 / 10 10 10 10 GGG 94 75 93 74 / 10 10 10 10 LFK 96 75 94 75 / 10 10 10 10 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...26 AVIATION...20