FXUS64 KOUN 031707 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1207 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1202 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 - Low to medium (20-50%) chances for isolated to scattered showers and storms continue into early next week. - Slightly below normal temperatures continue into early next week. && .NEAR TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 124 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 Surface high will continue to gradually shift off to the east, with moisture return across the area in its wake. Weak upper-level troughing to the west will support additional widely scattered showers and thunderstorms today and this evening. High temperatures will once again be moderated by cloud cover today and are only expected to get up into the mid 80s. Overnight lows will cool down into the upper 60s to low 70s. Bunker && .SHORT TERM... (Friday through Saturday night) Issued at 124 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 Additional low rain chances will continue across most of the area Friday as a weak mid-level trough moves in from the west. There is a chance for these rain/thunderstorms chances to be more widespread, but models differ on track/strength of the mid-level wave. Rain chances will continue into Saturday, but are expected to be more isolated. High temperatures will stay in the mid 80s Friday and will warm up to the upper 80s as mid-level ridging moves in from the west. Bunker && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 124 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 Low rain chances will continue through the weekend and into next week. The aforementioned mid-level ridge will continue to build over the weekend and remain in place through the early part of next week. With slightly increasing heights, afternoon temperatures will increase to the low 90s for most of the area. Bunker && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1202 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 Slow-moving areas of showers and thunderstorms will continue across our area this afternoon and evening. Skies have lowered to MVFR ceilings in parts of central and southern Oklahoma near those storms, though mostly VFR conditions continue. Another round of showers and storms looks likely tomorrow morning. Guidance is again suggesting MVFR/IFR stratus in the morning, but this largely busted today so will go with low-end VFR for tomorrow in a persistence forecast. Meister && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 70 85 71 89 / 20 40 10 20 Hobart OK 69 86 70 91 / 40 50 10 20 Wichita Falls TX 72 87 72 91 / 50 50 10 20 Gage OK 68 86 69 91 / 20 30 20 20 Ponca City OK 69 87 71 89 / 10 40 20 20 Durant OK 73 89 74 91 / 30 30 10 10 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...13 SHORT TERM...13 LONG TERM....13 AVIATION...04