FXUS64 KOHX 021709 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1209 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1206 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 - Much calmer weather is expected through the weekend with mostly dry conditions and steadily increasing temperatures. - Independence Day is expected to be dry with high temperatures in the low to mid-90s. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Thursday) Issued at 1039 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 A front has moved through Middle TN, and behind it, much drier air has filtered into the area. Dewpoints are generally sitting in the 60s at this time and are expected to stay in this range through the afternoon. That will translate to much lower humidity today with high temperatures warming into the 80s to near 90 under mostly sunny skies. Overall, much calmer weather is in store through Thursday as high pressure stays in control and drier air is in place. High temperatures trend up a degree or two Thursday, but dewpoints staying in the 60s will still keep our humidity values low with still mostly sunny skies. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday Night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1039 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 By the Fourth of July, upper-level ridging remains in place, leading to a steady increase in daily high temperatures. High temperatures for Independence Day will warm into the low- to mid-90s and continue to warm into the holiday weekend. Humidity will slowly be on the rise as well, leading to heat indices near 100 west of the Plateau this weekend. While our rain chances remain very low through the weekend, that will change as we head into early next week. The steadily increasing humidity combined with a series of shortwaves tracking through the area will spell the return of daily rain chances starting Monday. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1206 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 VFR conditions with light north winds over the next 24 hours. There is a low chance for reduced VIS with patchy fog between 10z-12z Thursday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 70 92 71 95 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 67 90 70 93 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 61 86 63 89 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 66 89 67 92 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 63 86 66 90 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 62 86 63 90 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 65 89 66 92 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 66 91 67 93 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 67 89 68 92 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Clements LONG TERM....Clements AVIATION.....Cravens