FXUS64 KOHX 021113 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 613 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 612 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 - Patchy fog east of I-65 into early Wednesday morning. Locally dense fog is possible. - Stable weather through Thursday with decreased humidity and temperatures near normal. - Increasing temperatures for Independence Day through the holiday weekend with continued dry weather. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Thursday Night) Issued at 1030 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 Water vapor imagery shows much drier tropospheric air working into Middle Tennessee in association with a shortwave trough and surface "cold" front passing through. Dewpoints are already decreasing into the 60s across the northern zones with clear skies. PWs have taken a sharp decrease as well, and high pressure will remain in control through the remainder of the short-term period as the drier air mass settles into the area. Temperatures should run near normal values along with decreased humidity levels. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1016 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 By Independence Day, temperatures will take on a more above normal posture across Middle TN as deep-layer ridging builds across the region. This trend will continue through the holiday weekend with highs well into the 90s for much of the forecast area along with a slight increase in humidity due to weak southerly flow. This could support heat index values close to 100 degrees for some areas. Rain chances make a return to Middle TN early next week due to steadily increasing moisture values and approaching disturbances aloft. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 612 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 Dense fog is impacting southern and eastern portions of Middle TN, including KSRB. This fog will diminish through the mid-morning hours. VFR conditions prevail thereafter with light northerly winds and mostly clear skies. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 91 69 92 70 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 89 67 90 70 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 84 62 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 89 66 90 68 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 86 63 86 66 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 85 62 86 64 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 88 65 88 66 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 89 66 90 68 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 89 67 90 68 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Sizemore LONG TERM....Sizemore AVIATION.....Clements