FXUS64 KMOB 271225 AAA AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 725 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025 ...New UPDATE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 718 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025 - High Risk of rip currents through this afternoon. - A much colder airmass moves into the area later this week bringing the coldest air so far this season. Strong northwest winds in the wake of the front brings higher seas Wednesday and Thursday. && .UPDATE... Issued at 718 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025 Lingering light showers over southern Okaloosa County will exit our forecast area shortly. Dry conditions are forecast across the entire area for the remainder of the day, but there could be a few light showers developing late this afternoon well southeast of I-65 as a surface boundary sweeps through. Updated the public forecast to considerably lower this morning's precipitation chances. Otherwise the remainder of the forecast remains in good shape. /22 && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 116 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025 A heavy rain and isolated severe threat will continue for a few more hours early this morning across the western Florida panhandle as an upper trough moves into the area. Ahead of the trough, a cold front will move east across the area this morning with a drier airmass moving into the area. A drier cooler airmass will follow through Tuesday. A much strong trough and associated cold front will move through late Tuesday into Wednesday with a much cooler airmass moving into the area. Only isolated to scattered showers/storms are expected ahead of this front due to the lack of significant moisture return. Highs will only reach the low/mid 60s inland to low 70s near the coast on Wednesday with only low to mid 60s for highs on Thursday. Highs moderate back into the upper 60s and low 70s for the end of the week into the weekend. Lows will fall into the low to mid 40s across much of the area away from the coast. The coldest night will likely be Thursday and Friday nights with some upper 30s possible inland. /13 && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 642 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025 LIFR/IFR CIGs and VSBYs early this morning will improve to MVFR levels around mid-morning, followed by VFR conditions around noon. Light north to northwest winds of 3 to 7 knots will occur through today. /22 && .MARINE... Issued at 116 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025 A moderate to strong southeasterly flow through ahead of a cold front transitions to a light to moderate northerly flow today in the wake of its passage. A stronger cold front moves through the area Tuesday night, bringing a strong northwesterly flow to the area Wednesday into Thursday and higher sea states. Offshore flow weakens and seas subside by Friday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 78 57 75 55 / 0 0 0 50 Pensacola 79 59 74 60 / 10 0 0 30 Destin 80 59 74 59 / 30 10 0 20 Evergreen 76 53 72 51 / 10 10 0 40 Waynesboro 74 54 72 50 / 0 0 0 70 Camden 71 52 70 50 / 10 0 0 60 Crestview 79 53 72 51 / 20 10 0 20 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266. FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204- 206. MS...None. GM...None. && $$