FXUS64 KMOB 221730 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1230 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1220 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026 - Temperatures will remain well above normal through next week. - Moderate to extreme drought along with little to no rain in the forecast through next week will exacerbate wildfire activity. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1038 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 A northwesterly flow aloft persists over the area through midweek as an upper ridge builds over the southwestern states and a broad upper trof pattern tends to prevail over much of the eastern states. A surface low passes well off to the north and brings a weak frontal boundary through the forecast area on Monday. Deep layer moisture remains limited and am not expecting precipitation with the passing front. Changes in the pattern occur later in the week and into Saturday with the upper ridge first building across the southeast states then weakening as a large upper trof evolves over much of the eastern states. Another frontal boundary looks to move through the forecast area between Friday and Friday night, but again deep layer moisture looks too limited to support precipitation. Overall am expecting dry and warm conditions to prevail through Saturday, though a series of shortwaves could allow for some spotty convection to develop Tuesday night into Wednesday. Some patchy fog could develop mainly over interior areas late tonight and again Sunday night. Highs each day tend to be in the lower to mid 80s inland and in the mid to upper 70s at the coast, except for a bit warmer on Thursday and Friday. Lows each night tend to range from the mid 50s to around 60. /29 && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1220 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026 With surface high pressure positioned to our east with the axis of the high centered over the eastern Gulf, a south to southwest component in wind direction expected thru the afternoon 8 to 14 kts. Sky and vsby ok thru early evening. There are indications that a low-level cig deck could develop by and after 23.09Z along with potential of BR reducing vsby to MVFR/IFR categories thru daybreak Monday at KMOB. Other sites appear to remain at VFR categories at this time. Will monitor. /10 && .MARINE... Issued at 232 AM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026 A light to moderate westerly to southwesterly flow continues into early next week, becoming a light easterly to southerly flow mid to late week. MM/25 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 80 58 84 59 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 77 61 81 61 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 73 61 76 61 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 84 55 85 56 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 83 58 83 58 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 83 58 81 56 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 82 55 85 56 / 0 0 0 0 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$