FXUS64 KMOB 031946 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 246 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 ...New Discussion, Marine... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 203 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 Drier conditions will likely persist through the weekend with high pressure building over the central US and east coast troughing in place. Steady northwesterly flow will persist into the weekend becoming more northeasterly then easterly by early next week as the upper ridge slowly shifts eastward. By the middle of next week, the ridge will be centered over north Florida leading to broad southwesterly flow to develop allowing moisture to return. At the surface, a weak boundary has slipped offshore and will hang out there for a couple of days before washing out and gradually lifting northward next week. A weak tropical disturbance will likely develop along this front off the east coast of Florida over the weekend which might aid in pulling some drier air into the area. Things should be dry for your fourth of July celebrations with slowly increasing rain chances each afternoon through the weekend and into next week. Rain chances will be best along the usual suspect areas just along and just north of I-10 where the seabreeze gets during the afternoon. Expect the usual summertime routine of scattered showers offshore during the morning then a mostly dry midday before thunderstorms develop by the mid to late afternoon. Other than that, not much going on other than it being hot and humid. Heat indices will be lower the next day or two with the drier air but expect them to gradually climb to around 100 to 105 by the middle of next week. BB-8 && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 618 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 VFR conditions under northerly winds expected for most of the forecast. A shift in winds to westerly is expected in the afternoon for stations south of I-10, before becoming a light northerly in the mid to late evening. /16 && .MARINE... Issued at 203 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 Generally light offshore flow prevails through Friday before becoming a light diurnal flow pattern this weekend featuring offshore winds overnight and onshore winds during the afternoon. By the beginning to middle of next week, a more persistent light to occasionally moderate southwesterly to westerly flow becomes established. BB-8 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 72 94 73 94 73 92 72 92 / 0 10 10 50 20 50 20 60 Pensacola 75 94 76 93 75 91 76 91 / 0 20 20 50 30 60 20 60 Destin 78 94 79 94 78 91 78 91 / 0 30 20 50 40 60 30 60 Evergreen 70 95 71 95 70 94 71 94 / 0 20 10 20 10 30 10 50 Waynesboro 70 94 70 95 71 95 70 95 / 0 0 0 20 10 30 10 40 Camden 69 93 71 93 71 93 72 93 / 0 10 0 20 10 20 10 40 Crestview 70 95 72 94 71 93 72 93 / 0 30 10 50 20 60 20 70 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob