FXUS64 KMOB 031121

AFDMOB



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Mobile AL

621 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025



...New Aviation...



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025



Upper ridging remains dominant over the south-central CONUS 

through the weekend while upper troughing across the far eastern 

CONUS persists. Our forecast area remains between these two 

features through Friday before a cutoff upper low/trough 

retrogrades west this weekend into early next week over the

forecast area. A weak cold front has moved offshore with a much

drier but hotter airmass settling in. Isolated showers and storms

return to areas southeast of the I-65 corridor Friday afternoon

with more typical afternoon scattered showers and storms becoming

established this weekend into next week as moisture returns to the

area. Hot temperatures can be expected each day with highs topping

out in the lower to middle 90's. The good news is that afternoon 

dewpoints drop off with the dry air in place overhead to round out

the week, helping to limit heat indices in the 95 to 105 range 

any given day. We continue to monitor the potential for tropical 

development somewhere in the northeast gulf or off the southeast 

U.S. coast late week into the weekend in association with the 

aforementioned weak front gradually washing out, however 

confidence is low on if development occurs and where it would go

if it did develop. Most forecast guidance is starting to lean

towards development off the southeast U.S. coastline if there is

any development at all. A Low risk of rip currents remains through

the weekend and early next week. MM/25



&&



.AVIATION...

(12Z TAFS)

Issued at 618 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025



VFR conditions under northerly winds expected for most of the

forecast. A shift in winds to westerly is expected in the

afternoon for stations south of I-10, before becoming a light

northerly in the mid to late evening.

/16



&&



.MARINE...

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025



No marine impacts are expected outside of showers and storms

through early next week. MM/25



&&



.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...None.

FL...None.

MS...None.

GM...None.

&&



$$



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