FXUS64 KLZK 092300

AFDLZK



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Little Rock AR

600 PM CDT Fri May 9 2025



...New AVIATION...



.DISCUSSION...

Tonight through Thursday night

Issued at 222 PM CDT Fri May 9 2025



Latest satellite imagery and observations continue to show an

upper level low straddling the Arkansas/Louisiana border. This

feature is cut off from the prevailing flow and will be sticking

around for a few days at least.



All guidance continues to show this feature meandering around the

south central CONUS through the weekend keeping northeast winds 

and a decent amount of cloud cover in place. This pattern will 

result in high temperatures only in the upper 60s to mid 70s 

through the weekend.



Guidance also continues to show the best moisture will initially 

be along the gulf coast but transported to the north with time. 

Rainfall chances will confined mainly to the southeast on Saturday

but higher POPS will be introduced further north and west Sunday 

and Sunday night as the upper low starts to lift out. Come Monday 

evening, the system will be located over northeast Arkansas with 

precip chances lowering from west to east into Tuesday morning. 

Rain amounts will not be excessive with most areas seeing less 

than half an inch of rain. The highest amounts will be along the

Mississippi River.



In the wake of the upper low, a significant pattern change will

unfold. A deep trough of low pressure will drop into the Northern

Rockies with upper ridging building over the nations midsection. 

This will result in a return to very warm temperatures with highs 

in the upper 80s to lower 90s Wednesday and Thursday. Increasing 

southerly flow will also bring higher humidity air back to the 

region.



&&



.AVIATION...

(00Z TAFS)

Issued at 600 PM CDT Fri May 9 2025



Low pressure along the AR/LA border will meander around the region

through the TAF period. VFR will generally prevail but brief MVFR

ceilings will be possible. Some light showers will be possible at

KPBF this evening and KLLQ Saturday but VCSH will suffice 

currently. East to northeast winds will prevail and may be gusty 

at times. 



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Batesville AR     76  53  73  56 /   0   0   0  10 

Camden AR         76  57  73  55 /  10  10  20  40 

Harrison AR       74  48  72  50 /   0   0   0   0 

Hot Springs AR    75  56  74  55 /  10  10   0  20 

Little Rock   AR  75  57  73  57 /  10  10   0  30 

Monticello AR     77  60  72  58 /  10  20  30  50 

Mount Ida AR      76  54  75  55 /  10  10   0  10 

Mountain Home AR  74  49  73  52 /   0   0   0   0 

Newport AR        76  54  72  58 /   0   0   0  20 

Pine Bluff AR     75  58  72  57 /  10  10  10  40 

Russellville AR   77  54  76  56 /  10   0   0  10 

Searcy AR         76  54  72  56 /   0   0   0  20 

Stuttgart AR      75  58  71  58 /  10  10  10  40 



&&



.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.

&&



$$



SHORT TERM...56

LONG TERM....56

AVIATION...56