FXUS64 KLZK 032312 AAA AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 512 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1216 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 -Chances for rainfall today as a cold front moves through the state -Slight cooler conditions expected by mid-week behind the cold front -Warmer temperatures will return by late this week through the weekend...with a dry forecast returning && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1216 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 SRLY flow allowed for much warmer conditions across the Natural State on Mon afternoon for most areas...with highs warming into the 50s and 60s. However...some 40s were still noted across NERN sections. Weak SRLY flow continued overnight...which should increase during the rest of the morning hrs this Tue...with moisture levels on the rise. This increased moisture will be ahead of an approaching upper disturbance and SFC cold front...that will move SE through the state through this afternoon/evening. As the SFC front progresses SE today...chances for SHRA will increase along/ahead of this front...with precip developing across SWRN sections by sunrise. Expect this precip to spread further NE into the late morning hrs...then as the front drops SE...expect the precip to end from NW to SE this afternoon. The front will drop SE of the state by mid/late evening...with precip ending across the CWA around this same timeframe. Best POPs look to remain across SERN sections...which will also be where the highest QPF will exist. Even so...QPF will remain around a quarter inch or less across the far SERN sections. While cooler conditions will be seen for Wed behind this cold front...temps will only dip into the upper 30s to upper 40s for highs. This cool down will be short-lived as SRLY flow returns by Thu. Temps will warm back to around or even above normal by late this week and through the weekend. Chances for precip through the rest of the forecast should remain low as well. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 508 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 A cold front has moved across nearly the entire state as of this evening, with southeast Arkansas remaining ahead of the front. Ahead of the front low cigs and poor vsby persist while conditions drastically improve behind the front. NW winds will be common through the overnight, gusty briefly behind the front, then winds will generally be less than 10 kts through daybreak. VFR conditions should be widespread by 04/06z. Through the day Wednesday, widespread cigs between 3-5k ft are expected with some periodic MVFR cigs at times. Winds will remain N/NW around 10 kts through the afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 26 42 24 51 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 32 49 27 56 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 25 40 25 55 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 30 47 26 56 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 29 44 26 52 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 32 44 28 52 / 20 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 29 49 27 58 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 24 40 24 53 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 28 40 23 47 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 30 43 25 51 / 10 0 0 0 Russellville AR 28 47 26 56 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 26 43 23 51 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 29 42 25 48 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Dense Fog Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for ARZ047-057- 065. && $$ SHORT TERM...62 LONG TERM....62 AVIATION...67