FXUS64 KLZK 030545 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1245 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1238 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 -Rain chances will be confined to western Arkansas the next few days, dry elsewhere. -Temperatures will be warm the next few days, but near normal for early July. -Unsettled weather will return next week, with occasional rain chances across much of the state. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1238 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 Mostly dry condtions are expected across the state the next few days, with some rain chances in place across western Arkansas through Friday. H500 ridging will remain in place over the area into the weekend, but a weak disturbance is slowly moving through the ridge. This is what could provide some precip across western AR the next few days. Through this timeframe, temperatures will remain near to slightly above normal for this time of year, but heat indices will remain below advisory levels. From late weekend into early next week, the H500 ridge is expected to drift W/SW and expand north across the western US. This will provide a more progressive W/NW flow at the mid-levels across Arkansas and much of the central/southern US next week. Embedded in the mid-level flow will be a series of disturbances that should move across Arkansas periodically and help influence the development of showers and thunderstorms. This will help temper the heat somewhat and continue to limit any drought concerns across the area. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1241 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 VFR conds are expected through the TAF period. Winds overnight will be light or calm. On Thurs, scattered SHRA/isolated TSRA are may develop over the SW half of AR, possibly affecting all terminals except KHRO and KBPK. This activity should move from NW to SE. PoP chances will wind down by late afternoon/early evening. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 91 71 92 71 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 91 72 94 72 / 20 10 10 0 Harrison AR 89 68 88 69 / 0 0 10 0 Hot Springs AR 92 73 92 72 / 20 0 20 0 Little Rock AR 92 74 93 74 / 10 0 10 0 Monticello AR 91 73 94 74 / 20 10 10 0 Mount Ida AR 89 71 91 71 / 20 10 30 0 Mountain Home AR 90 69 90 69 / 0 0 10 0 Newport AR 92 73 93 72 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 91 73 92 72 / 10 0 10 0 Russellville AR 92 72 92 72 / 10 0 10 0 Searcy AR 92 71 93 71 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 91 74 92 74 / 10 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...99 LONG TERM....99 AVIATION...70