FXUS64 KJAN 220122 AAB AFDJAN Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 822 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 ...New MESOSCALE UPDATE... .KEY MESSAGES... - Quiet weather and warm conditions prevail through the end of next week. && .MESOSCALE UPDATE... Issued at 817 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 Overall another uneventful night is in store for us tonight. Lows in the high 50s to low 60s tomorrow morning. Folks in the Jackson area may have noticed it getting fairly smokey around sunset. This is from a rather large dust plume that managed to work its way all the way from the Homochito area; from a prescribed burn that started at 2pm today. Smoke should already be clearing out by 8:30pm so there should be no cause for concern./OAJ/ && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 147 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 Through Sunday: Continued warmer than normal and dry through Sunday. Our CWA will remain on the eastern periphery of a large mid level high that will slowly flatten through Sunday. The 1018mb surface high centered over the northern Gulf this afternoon will shift east through Sunday but continue to provide and warm moist low level flow across our CWA. Daytime heating will lead to a few wind gusts tomorrow. This wind along with the ridging surface and aloft will help afternoon temperatures top out a degree or two warmer than today. Morning lows Sunday will be warmer than normal as well. /22/ Sunday night through Friday: Quiet conditions with a brief cooldown (highs: 70s/lows: 50/60) will close out the weekend. A dry, frontal boundary will be responsible for the seasonal average temps on Monday and Tuesday before rebounding to above seasonal average temps for the rest of the week. Surface ridging will build in post frontal boundary will be the dominant feature over remaining part of the week. Latest model guidance have backed off a shortwave disturbance traversing through northeast MS, thus dropping rain chances below 15% for Tuesday afternoon/evening. Warm conditions will quickly return as highs range in the 80s to close out the work week. Heading into the weekend, another dry front will push into the area, slightly reducing temp into the 60s and 70s for the weekend. /SW/ && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 558 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 VFR conditions are expected to persist throughout the period, with an increase in winds tomorrow afternoon along northern sites through central sites which will see gusts of around 20-25kts. There's a very small likelihood of seeing some patchy fog tonight in the southeast, but given the lack of excitement, thought it worth a mention./OAJ/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 60 84 60 81 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 57 84 59 83 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 61 85 59 81 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 57 84 58 84 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 61 84 60 83 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 61 84 60 73 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 62 86 62 78 / 0 0 0 0 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && $$ 22/SW/OAJ