FXUS64 KHUN 020439

AFDHUN



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

1139 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025



...New AVIATION...



.NEAR TERM...

(Rest of tonight and Wednesday)

Issued at 950 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025



A broken complex of thunderstorms was seen moving south of the TN

River as a sfc front tracks south through the area. Current obs

show evidence of drier air moving through the Midwest and into the

TN valley in the wake of the front, and this should set the stage

for a few fairly pleasant days across the TN Valley. High cirrus

will clear the area later tonight with mostly clear skies to

follow. Overnight lows will cool into the mid to upper 60s,

several degrees cooler than recent nights and will begin a

temporary but welcomed change to the area. With clearing skies and

light winds, will have to monitor for fog development overnight.



A beautiful day is in store for the Tennessee Valley on Wednesday

with sunny skies and temps mostly staying below the 90 degree

mark. Highs should reach the mid to upper 80s during the afternoon

as northerly flow maintains a cooler and drier airmass over much

of the eastern CONUS. 



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(Wednesday night through Friday)

Issued at 950 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025



A broad subtropical ridge will be dominant across the Deep South 

through the late week period, providing a dry forecast for any 

4th of July holiday festivities. Ample sunshine provided from the

strong subsidence (clear skies) from this ridge will allow

temperatures to warm each day, potentially reaching the mid 90s 

in some areas on this Holiday Friday. The steady increase in lower

level humidity during this timeframe could bring heat index 

values close to the 100 degree mark on Independence Day. With 

overnight lows falling into the 60s each night, the risk for heat 

related concerns will be low until we get into the weekend. With

that said, be sure to stay up to date with the latest forecast 

should heat become more of a concern for the holiday, and go ahead

and make plans to bring proper hydration and sun protection if 

spending time outdoors Friday!



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Friday night through Tuesday)

Issued at 950 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025



The aforementioned ridge will continue to shift east over the

weekend, and will support the increase in more tropical like air

across the Tennessee Valley. The main concern over the weekend and

into next week will be the heat as temps reach back into the 90s

and afternoon heat indices look like they will meet or exceed the

100 degree mark. For now, it does look like we will remain dry 

through the weekend but this could change depending on the exact 

progression of the ridge. Nonetheless, thunderstorm chances will 

increase beginning next week as we transition back to a more hot 

and humid airmass with low chances for thunderstorms (10-30%) each

afternoon. The good news is that there is currently no evidence in

any organized system that would bring severe weather to the

Tennessee Valley.



&&



.AVIATION...

(06Z TAFS)

Issued at 1139 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025



VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period with light

winds and mostly clear skies. 



&&



.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...None.

TN...None.

&&



$$



NEAR TERM...25

SHORT TERM....25

LONG TERM....25

AVIATION...GH