FXUS64 KFWD 120652 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1252 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Above normal temperatures will continue through Saturday, before a strong cold front brings colder temperatures on Sunday with highs in the 40s and 50s. - Abnormally warm temperatures will return to the region by the middle of next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tonight) Issued at 1137 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 Above normal temperatures will continue today, with a weak cold front sagging into North Texas during the daytime. Aside from a north wind shift around 10 mph, this boundary will have little impact on sensible weather with minimal cold advection behind it. Prior to the front's arrival, increasing moisture content within strengthening southerly low-level flow should send a swath of low stratus and perhaps some fog into parts of Central/East Texas this morning which will mix out with daytime mixing as surface winds veer westerly. Some of this fog may even briefly become dense roughly southeast of a Temple to Palestine line before visibilities quickly improve by mid-morning. Highs will be in the 70s south of the frontal boundary and mostly in the mid/upper 60s across North Texas. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through next Thursday) Issued at 1137 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 Low-level flow will already begin recovering to southerly on Saturday which will allow temperatures to climb above normal once again with highs in the 60s and lower 70s. Since today's front will not scour moisture from Central Texas, renewed warm advection should provide sufficient lift for some light precipitation across our southern zones during the daytime on Saturday with chances for measurable rainfall of 10-20%. The vast majority of the area will remain dry and unseasonably warm. A much stronger cold front is progged to move into the area late Saturday night and Sunday morning associated with a stronger Northern Plains trough and surface high pressure becoming anchored over the Midwest and Great Lakes region. Post-frontal gusty north winds will keep temperatures much cooler on Sunday with highs likely only reaching the 40s. Rain showers could accompany this boundary through parts of Central Texas where lingering moisture will still exist, but the frontal passage will be dry for most of the CWA. A renewed warm advection regime will take shape through the first half of next week, but it remains unclear how much moisture recovery will be able to occur ahead of another midweek system. For now, rain chances through the remainder of the forecast are below mentionable levels, and a return to warm and dry weather is the most likely solution at this time. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1137 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through the period with passing cirrus. This morning's fog and low stratus will remain well southeast of Metroplex airports, but could briefly encroach on Waco after sunrise. A weak cold front will result in a north wind shift around midday for D10 TAF sites and closer to 22z for Waco, but speeds will remain light at 10 kts or less. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 66 45 69 42 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 69 45 74 48 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 64 41 68 40 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 67 40 68 36 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 66 42 69 39 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 67 46 70 43 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 65 43 71 43 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 67 47 72 49 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 67 44 73 49 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 70 42 69 37 / 0 0 0 0&& .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Stalley LONG TERM....Stalley AVIATION...Stalley