FXUS64 KFWD 031858 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1258 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Isolated rain showers with a rumble of thunder or two will be possible south of I-20 and along/east of I-35 through this afternoon. - A cold front moving across the region today will bring cooler temperatures for Wednesday with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s. - Warm, above-normal temperatures and dry conditions are expected late in the work week through this weekend with highs in the 70s. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Wednesday) Issued at 1251 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 The advertised cold front currently bisects our forecast area as it gradually shifts south of the I-20 corridor this afternoon. This boundary separates a relatively moist airmass to the south noted by dewpoints in the upper 50s to low 60s and a drier airmass to the north, with dewpoints in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Extensive cloud cover currently exists along and south of the front with isolated showers remaining possible through this afternoon south of I-20 and east of I-35. MUCAPE > 300 J/kg will support a few rumbles of thunder before this activity exits to the southeast along with the cold front later this evening. North winds at 10-15 mph behind the cold front will usher in a slightly cooler airmass with overnight lows falling into the mid to upper 30s by Wednesday morning and widespread highs in the 50s tomorrow afternoon. A few, isolated high-based showers may develop northwest of the Metroplex during the day Wednesday as a compact shortwave trough shifts over the Southern Plains. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1251 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 Broad mid/upper ridging will extend from Northern Mexico toward the Intermountain West through the remainder of the week. Additionally, the return of west-southwest winds Thursday will promote a gradual warming trend into the weekend. Expect highs in the 60s Thursday reaching the low to mid 70s region-wide Friday afternoon. A weak cold front looks to move through the area Friday, but will do little outside of a brief northwesterly wind shift. The state of Texas will remain beneath ridging through much of the weekend allowing for a very mild and pleasant early February weekend with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 70s (15 to 20 degrees above average for this time of year). Our next chance for rain will likely hold off until the Monday- Tuesday timeframe next week when extended guidance highlights increasing moisture over North and Central Texas ahead of a Desert Southwest upper low. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1251 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 A cold front has pushed through the Metroplex with all D10 terminals now reporting north-northwest winds at 10-15 kts. FROPA will reach KACT within the next hour. An isolated rain shower cannot be ruled out at KACT over the next couple of hours. The expansive cloud deck observed earlier today is clearing from north to south with the arrival of drier air behind the front. VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period for all FWD TAF sites. North winds will fall below 10 kts tonight before increasing again by midday Wednesday. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 38 56 35 65 / 0 10 0 0 Waco 39 59 35 65 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 35 53 31 61 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 33 55 30 65 / 0 10 0 0 McKinney 36 54 32 63 / 0 10 0 0 Dallas 40 57 35 66 / 0 10 0 0 Terrell 37 56 32 63 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 39 59 36 64 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 38 60 34 65 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 35 59 31 68 / 0 10 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Langfeld LONG TERM....Langfeld AVIATION...Langfeld