FXUS64 KEWX 031119

AFDEWX



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX

619 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025



...New AVIATION...



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Continued unseasonably wet and "cool" today through Saturday with 

  locally heavy downpours and gusty winds possible.  



- Turning seasonably drier and warmer on Sunday through next week. 



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(Today through Friday)

Issued at 105 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025



A mid to upper level trough moves over our area today and Friday. 

The airmass remains unseasonably moist with PWs of 1.8 to 2.4 

inches. Forcing by the trough and heating will generate rounds of 

showers over most areas with sufficient instability for isolated to 

perhaps widely scattered thunderstorms. As seen the last few days, 

locally heavy rainfall of 1 to 3 inches can be expected and may 

cause some minor flooding, especially where recent heavy rains have 

moistened soils resulting in faster runoff. In addition, gusty winds 

of 40 to 50 mph are possible as storms collapse. Due to the clouds 

and rain, below to well below average temperatures are expected.



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Friday night through Wednesday)

Issued at 105 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025



Most models are now leaving a remnant mid level feature over our 

area with less of an influence of the Subtropical Ridge through much 

of the weekend. As a result, the unseasonably moist airmass remains 

along with forcing by the feature and heating. Thus, have introduced 

low chances of showers and thunderstorms over most areas on Saturday 

and Rio Grande into Edwards Plateau on Sunday. The Subtropical Ridge 

builds more fully over our area next week. Chances of showers and 

thunderstorms wane as the airmass dries under increasing subsidence. 

About the only rain chances will be with the seabreeze near the 

Coastal Plains each afternoon. Increased sunshine leads to 

temperatures warming to near to slightly above average.  



&&



.AVIATION...

(12Z TAFS)

Issued at 617 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025



Scattered showers continue over much of the area this morning with 

the most consistent activity over DRT where -RA may last through the 

morning or early afternoon. Ceilings range from MVFR to IFR at 

terminals with these reduced conditions continuing through the 

morning at I-35 sites and into the afternoon at DRT. Scattered 

showers and thunderstorms are forecast into the afternoon, though 

timing and placement remain uncertain. Therefore, have continued the 

PROB30 groups at sites. MVFR to IFR ceilings will likely redevelop 

late tonight into Friday morning.



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Austin Camp Mabry              88  75  92  75 /  50  20  10  10 

Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  88  76  91  75 /  50  20  10  10 

New Braunfels Muni Airport     88  75  91  74 /  50  20  10  10 

Burnet Muni Airport            85  74  88  73 /  50  30  30  10 

Del Rio Intl Airport           87  75  92  76 /  70  50  50  10 

Georgetown Muni Airport        87  75  90  75 /  40  20  20  10 

Hondo Muni Airport             85  75  89  73 /  50  40  30  10 

San Marcos Muni Airport        88  75  91  74 /  50  20  10  10 

La Grange - Fayette Regional   90  75  91  75 /  40  20  10   0 

San Antonio Intl Airport       88  76  90  75 /  50  30  20  10 

Stinson Muni Airport           90  76  92  75 /  40  20  20  10 



&&



.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.

&&



$$



Short-Term...04

Long-Term...04

Aviation...27