FXUS64 KBRO 091831 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 131 PM CDT Fri May 9 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 128 PM CDT Fri May 9 2025 Quiescent weather conditions will prevail through the short term forecast period or through Saturday night as high pressure continues to increase its influence over the region. Tonight and Saturday night will be slightly cooler than normal and slightly less humid behind the cold front. Overnight lows are progged to be in the 60s across Deep South Texas tonight and again Saturday night. Daytime highs on Saturday are expected to top out in the mid to upper 80s across Deep South Texas (upper 70s along SPI and the beaches along the Lower Texas Coast. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through next Friday) Issued at 128 PM CDT Fri May 9 2025 The long term period starts off with an upper/mid level cut of low meandering across the Lower Mississippi Valley before lifting northeast early to mid next week as high pressure builds back over Deep South Texas. At the surface, low pressure will lead to some lingering showers, mainly on the waters early Sunday before drying out for the remainder of the forecast period. As we head into Tuesday, surface low pressure over the Rockies will lead to a tightening pressure gradient, with increasing southerly winds, especially along the coast. Temperatures are expected to remain near normal to start the period warming through the week. Temperatures across the Rio Grande Plains will reach the low 100s beginning Tuesday with heat indices between 102 and 105 degrees into Wednesday and Thursday. Minor Heat Risk is expected for much of Deep South Texas on Tuesday increasing to Moderate Wednesday and Thursday. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1138 AM CDT Fri May 9 2025 Through 18z Saturday.....VFR conditions will continue to develop over the terminals through this afternoon and will persist through the remainder of the 18z TAF cycle a s high pressure influences increase. Northerly winds 10-15 kts with gusts as high as 20-25 kts or so will continue through this afternoon before waning later this evening and tonight. Northerly winds will pick up again on Saturday with magnitudes between 5-15 kts. && .MARINE... Issued at 128 PM CDT Fri May 9 2025 Tonight through Saturday Night: A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect till 6pm this evening from 0 to 60 nautical miles offshore. Conditions will improve tonight with generally favorable conditions developing on Saturday as high pressure builds into the region. Sunday through Thursday...Favorable marine conditions are expected into the first part of the week. As the surface pressure gradient increases Tuesday, increasing southerly winds will lead to Small Craft Caution conditions or low end Small Craft Advisories Tuesday through Thursday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 66 85 64 86 / 0 10 10 10 HARLINGEN 64 85 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 68 87 64 89 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 65 85 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 72 80 70 80 / 0 10 10 10 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 67 82 64 84 / 0 0 10 10 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ451-454- 455. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for GMZ150-155- 170-175. && $$ SHORT TERM...23-Evbuoma LONG TERM....68-McGinnis AVIATION...23-Evbuoma