FXUS64 KBRO 020001 AAA AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 701 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Wednesday night) Issued at 1222 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 After a rainy Tuesday, precipitation chances are expected to rapidly drop off tonight as Tropical Storm Barry remnants continue to move out of the region and high pressure begins to settle into the area. Precipitation chances are approximately 20-30% tonight, lowering to 10-20% tomorrow. Tomorrow night, there is little to no chance of showers or thunderstorms as higher pressure moves into the area. High temperatures are still expected to be below seasonal values tomorrow, getting up into the upper 80s/lower 90s, but is the beginning of a warming trend that is expected to continue through the week. Lows will gradually warm from the low to mid 70s tonight to the mid to upper 70s tomorrow night. A moderate risk of rip currents due to lingering Tropical Storm Barry swell is in effect through tonight, and may need to be extended depending on how quickly swell and wave heights come down. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1222 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 Conditions are expected to continue drying out throughout the week as upper level ridging continues to move over the area, bringing subsidence and higher pressure to the surface. Skies are expected to clear from mostly cloudy on Thursday to partly cloudy by Saturday, with very little rain chances for the area for the remainder of the week into the weekend. High temperatures are expected to gradually warm from the low to mid 90s on Thursday to the upper 90s by early next week. As the temperatures warm, humidity is expected to somewhat fall, keeping the heat risk fairly consistent (minor to moderate) through the beginning of next week. Winds will remain light to moderate and southeasterly throughout the forecast period. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 645 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 Primarily VFR for all sites for a majority of the cycle. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms continue to creep into the region from the south. These should diminish in intensity and coverage as the night progresses with VFR conditions prevailing, but temporary reductions to MVFR are possible. There is a low chance (<30%) at all sites to experience MVFR to IFR ceiling coverage early Wednesday morning between 09-14Z. Showers should diminish by then, but there is a low chance of isolated to scattered showers again tomorrow. && .MARINE... Issued at 1222 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 Wave heights are expected to fall starting tonight, and conditions should return to favorable by tomorrow and remain favorable (with light to moderate winds and wave heights between 1-3 feet) throughout the weekend into next week. Winds are expected to be southeasterly and remain light to moderate. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 76 89 79 92 / 40 20 10 0 HARLINGEN 73 90 76 93 / 40 20 10 10 MCALLEN 75 92 78 94 / 40 30 0 10 RIO GRANDE CITY 74 87 75 92 / 40 30 10 10 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 79 86 80 87 / 50 10 10 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 76 89 78 90 / 40 10 10 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...55 LONG TERM....55 AVIATION...69-HK