FXUS64 KBMX 270558 CCA AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1229 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1222 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2025 - Another round of rain is expected Tuesday night through Wednesday. Additional rainfall amounts of aroudn 1" are likely with a medium (30-40%) chance of greater than 1" of rain in the northern portions of Central Alabama. - There is a low potential for patchy frost in the far north on Friday morning with lows in the mid to upper 30s. There is a low to medium chance at seeing patchy frost for a good portion of Central Alabama Saturday morning. Lows will be in the middle 30s. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through next Sunday) Issued at 1222 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2025 Most of the rain should be moving out of the area this morning, but lingering light rain may persist for much of the day. Cloudy conditions are expected for much of the day, which will limit how much warming we see through the day. We'll have a brief period of rain-free conditions on Tuesday before our next system moves into the region. This next low pressure system has trended deeper over the past few runs, now producing more widespread rainfall for Tuesday night into Wednesday. With the CAD wedge in place on Tuesday and persistent cloud cover, I don't see much in the way of instability, so even with this dynamic system, the thunderstorms chances are low. Behind this system, a much colder and drier airmass will be brought into Central AL for Thursday through Saturday. Frost conditions look to be favorable for the northern locations Friday morning and for much of the area by Saturday morning. 25/Owen && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2025 A messy pattern is in store for the next 24 hours. With the low pressure system moving through, persistent light to moderate rain will continue overnight into early Monday for all sites, as the heavier showers move over terminals, we could see temporary low VIS. As the rain ends tomorrow afternoon through the evening, CIGs are expected to decrease to IFR then LIFR through the remainder of the period. 25/Owen && .FIRE WEATHER... An active pattern is setting up for the next several days as a couple of weather systems move through the area. Winds will gradually decrease today and will remain out of the east. Winds increase again Tuesday night into Wednesday as our next low pressure system moves in bringing widespread rain. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 59 49 63 47 / 90 30 10 60 Anniston 59 50 62 49 / 80 30 0 50 Birmingham 60 52 64 51 / 70 20 0 60 Tuscaloosa 65 52 68 50 / 50 10 10 70 Calera 64 50 67 50 / 60 10 0 50 Auburn 61 51 63 51 / 70 30 0 30 Montgomery 66 53 65 52 / 50 10 0 30 Troy 67 52 65 52 / 50 10 0 20 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...25/Owen AVIATION...25/Owen