FXUS64 KBMX 030605 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1205 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1205 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026 - Rain will overspread Central Alabama through the course of this afternoon and tonight. - There is a medium to high chance for seasonably warm temperatures next week. && .DISCUSSION... (Tuesday through next Monday) Issued at 1205 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026 Tue: A broad mid- to upper-level impulse, and approaching surface front, will generate a large area of showers upstream of Central Alabama this morning. This activity will then overspread our area through the course of this afternoon and tonight. No thunderstorms are expected per saturated/stable forecast soundings. Wed-Thu: A more pronounced, yet drier, upper-level trough will swing across the region Wednesday into Thursday. This will push a front across the area Wednesday morning, promoting somewhat breezy northwest winds through the day (sustained near 10 mph, gusts around 20 mph) and nudging away any lingering showers near/southeast of the 85 corridor. A two-day shot of colder air will also be had. Fri-Mon: Fair weather is expected heading into and over the weekend, featuring chilly nights and mild afternoons. 89^GSatterwhite && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1205 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026 Ongoing VFR cloudiness is expected through most, if not all of, this afternoon, including during onset of rain. Reductions in ceilings (trending to IFR) and visibility (trending to MVFR) are forecast as we head through this evening and night with rain persisting. Current light and variable winds will become southwest from 5-10 knots by midday. 89^GSatterwhite && .FIRE WEATHER... Rain will overspread Central Alabama through the course of this afternoon and tonight, persisting as late as ~mid morning Wednesday near/southeast of the 85 corridor. Amounts should average near one-half inch, locally higher in downpours. A drying northwest wind near 10 mph with gusts around 20 mph is forecast for Wednesday afternoon, though temperature/dew point spreads are not expected to be that wide which will keep MinRHs well above critical thresholds. Lower dew points move in for Thursday, pushing MinRHs into the 30s for a large chunk of Central Alabama during the afternoon alongside northwest winds from 5-10 mph. Fair weather is currently forecast for Friday and the weekend with MinRHs above critical thresholds, though slipping into the 30s for parts of Central Alabama, and west/northwest winds near 5-10 mph during the day. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 26 59 41 48 / 0 90 100 20 Anniston 31 60 41 51 / 0 50 100 30 Birmingham 34 60 41 48 / 0 90 100 10 Tuscaloosa 33 60 38 48 / 0 90 100 10 Calera 32 62 40 51 / 0 60 100 20 Auburn 31 60 48 55 / 0 10 90 70 Montgomery 32 65 49 56 / 0 10 90 50 Troy 32 65 49 58 / 0 0 90 70 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...89^GSatterwhite AVIATION...89^GSatterwhite