FXUS64 KBMX 030536 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1236 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday) Issued at 1232 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2025 Spotty showers and thunderstorms will occur this afternoon near and south of the 20 corridor in association with a nearby front. For Thursday, relatively drier flow aloft and mid-level subsidence should result in fair-weather conditions across central Alabama. Temperatures will be near seasonal normals today and Thursday. 89^GSatterwhite && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1232 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2025 The weather pattern over the weekend and into next week will include meandering high- and low-pressure axes across our region. Deep-layer moisture content will initially be displaced to our south, before migrating back to our area on Monday. Based on that trend and daytime heating alone, spotty/low coverage showers and thunderstorms could develop over the weekend (not looking as active as recent days), leading up to potentially higher coverage of diurnally-driven activity at times next week. Minor to moderate heat risks will exist each day. 89^GSatterwhite && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1234 AM CDT THU JUL 3 2025 All signs point to dry weather and VFR conditions across central Alabama through the next 24 hour TAF period. Just some scattered cumulus clouds from around 15Z to about 00Z. No weather related aviation concerns at this time. NOTE: AMD LTD TO CLD VIS AND WIND has been added at MGM until further notice due to comms issues. /61/ && .FIRE WEATHER... A cold front is situated to our south, and dry air will begin to filter in to the area. Min RH will remain well above critical thresholds, ranging from 50% in the north to 70% in the south. Winds will be light with a northwesterly component. The drier air will become more widespread by tomorrow with RH ranging from 45-55% during the afternoon. Dry and hot conditions are expected to continue through the week, but soil conditions remain quite saturated and there are no fire weather concerns at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 90 67 93 69 / 0 0 10 0 Anniston 89 68 92 70 / 0 0 10 0 Birmingham 89 69 92 72 / 0 0 10 0 Tuscaloosa 90 70 93 72 / 0 0 10 0 Calera 90 70 92 72 / 0 0 10 0 Auburn 91 72 91 72 / 0 0 20 10 Montgomery 91 70 93 72 / 0 0 20 10 Troy 91 70 92 71 / 0 0 20 10 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...89^GSatterwhite LONG TERM....89^GSatterwhite AVIATION.../61/