FXUS64 KAMA 271957

AFDAMA



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Amarillo TX

257 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025



...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...



.KEY MESSAGES...

Issued at 1242 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025



-Likely freeze overnight for most of the combined Panhandles

 Tuesday night and very likely for all of the combined Panhandles

 on Wednesday night. 



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(This evening through Tuesday night)

Issued at 1242 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025



The main H500 trough deepening over the northern Rockies will be

the main synoptic feature to watch over the next 24-72 hours.

The latest hi-res 12Z model and numerical guidance, as the main 

low develops from the southward trajection towards the lower 

Mississippi River valley by late tomorrow night. With that said,

most of the precipitation chances as the system moves south later

tonight as the low moves equatorward. The western extend of the

main lift of precipitation should reach portions of the eastern

Panhandles from late tonight into early tomorrow morning. The more

impactful weather will be associated with the cold front moving

into the region, trailing from the main developing low pressure

features further to the east. H850 temps will drop throughout the

day tomorrow with values approaching 0C by tomorrow night. Minus 

the far southeast Texas Panhandle, we have issued a Freeze Watch 

for the remainder of the combined Panhandles where 32 degrees or 

colder is a distinct possibility. High temperatures tomorrow will

only range in the lower to mid 50s. Behind the front throughout 

the day, northerly winds sustained between 20-25 mph with higher 

gusts is also expected.



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Wednesday through next Sunday)

Issued at 1242 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025



A re-surge of cold air is expected to start the long term 

forecast period. Especially for Wednesday night, all of the 

Panhandles should experience a growing season end of a freeze 

with low temperatures Wednesday night ranging from the lower to 

upper 20s. Dry and slowly warming conditions are expected 

throughout the remainder of the long term forecast period with 

highs returning to near average by the weekend as we go into early

November. 



&&



.AVIATION...

(18Z TAFS)

Issued at 1228 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025



VFR conditions expected to start the 18Z TAF period for KAMA/KDHT

with MVFR conditions at KGUY. By around 19-20Z, all sites will

have VFR conditions. Going past 02-03Z through about 08-10Z, 

there may be a brief window of MVFR to near IFR cigs ahead of a

cold front. Once the cold front moves through, VFR cigs should

return and remain so through the end of the TAF period. Winds 

will start out of the south 5-10 kts before backing to northerly 

at 10-20 kts with gusts over 30 kts at times starting between 

04-08Z and continue through the end of the TAF period. 



&&



.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...Freeze Watch from late Tuesday night through Wednesday morning 

     for TXZ001>014-016>019-317.



OK...Freeze Watch from late Tuesday night through Wednesday morning 

     for OKZ001>003.



&&



$$



SHORT TERM...29

LONG TERM....29

AVIATION...29