FXUS63 KTOP 091037

AFDTOP



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Topeka KS

537 AM CDT Fri May 9 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Quiet and warm conditions expected into next week.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 210 AM CDT Fri May 9 2025



Mid-level and surface ridging is taking control of the region early 

this morning in the wake of yesterday's system. Mostly sunny skies 

will bump temperatures back into the 70s and low 80s this afternoon. 

Dry conditions and above-normal daytime temperatures continue 

through the weekend with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Low-

level flow increases from the south Monday as an upper low lifts

north across the Mississippi Valley. The track of this system 

should remain far enough east to keep dry conditions in place. 

Shortwave ridging moves overhead Tuesday ahead of a longwave 

trough across the western CONUS. Temperatures warm into the 80s 

Tuesday with 90s in play for Wednesday and Thursday. The 

aforementioned western trough ejects across the Plains Wednesday

into Thursday, but ensembles show a low probability (~10%) of 

any measurable precipitation with the ejection of this trough.



&&



.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...

Issued at 537 AM CDT Fri May 9 2025



Shallow fog burns off quickly with sunrise this morning, leaving

VFR conditions through the remainder of the period. Fog appears

less likely tonight given drier air in place and elevated winds

just off the surface.



&&



.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Flanagan

AVIATION...Flanagan