FXUS63 KPAH 272314

AFDPAH



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Paducah KY

614 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- A relative lull in between rains will see more isolated light

  showers or drizzle through tonight, before picking up again 

  by Tuesday night-Wednesday.



- Additional rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches (locally higher

  possible) may cause nuisance or prone areal flooding at 

  times.



- Most rain ends by Thursday night but it will remain seasonally cool

  into and through the weekend.



&&



.UPDATE...

Issued at 614 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025



Updated Aviation discussion for the 00z TAF issuance. 



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 110 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025



As our present low pressure system spins out with its rains 

today, the next low pressure system takes shape and comes in 

with its rains by Tuesday night-Wednesday. A relative lull in 

between, showers will be light and more widely scattered or 

isolated. Soundings suggest drizzle/fog to also linger and/or be

a possibility.



The primary low dives south/east across and south of the area,

producing 1-2 inches (locally higher possible) of rainfall over

another 24-36 hour period, mostly Tuesday night-Wednesday. 

These amounts are below revised FFG even with the recent 

rainfall, so little more than nuisance or prone areal flooding 

is expected.



Due to the clouds/rain, we'll continue to see muted 

temperatures hover largely in the 50s. Even after this system 

pushes out Thursday, we'll remain in a cool nwly flow aloft that

continues below normal temperatures into/thru the weekend.



&&



.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...

Issued at 616 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025



Low stratus, fog, and occasional drizzle will keep cigs and/or 

vsbys restricted to IFR or LIFR levels for the great majority 

of the forecast period. Confidence in the fog forecast is low, 

while the ceiling forecast is medium to high. There may be some 

slight improvement to low MVFR cigs late in the forecast period 

(18-24z window) especially west of the Wabash River and KY 

Pennyrile. Light/calm winds overnight will become light from the

E at 4-7 kts after 15-18z. 



&&



.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

IL...None.

MO...None.

IN...None.

KY...None.



&&



$$



UPDATE...DWS

DISCUSSION...DH

AVIATION...DWS