FXUS63 KPAH 050659

AFDPAH



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Paducah KY

1259 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Another mild day is in store today with highs in the mid to

  upper 60s and sunny skies.



- A cold front will pass through Thursday night and Friday

  morning bringing some of the coolest temperatures we have seen

  yet this Fall. Highs in the 50s are forecast this weekend with

  lows in the low to mid 30s.



- Dry conditions will persist for the next several days with a

  warm-up into the 60s expected to begin Monday and continuing 

  through midweek.



&&



.UPDATE...

Issued at 430 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026



Updated Aviation discussion for 00Z TAF Issuance.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 1258 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026



Patchy fog is possible across the region this morning with skies

clearing and winds going calm or light. We are already seeing 

some lower visibilities across our sites and expect this to

continue until at least sunrise.



Another mild day is in store today with mostly sunny skies and

highs in the mid to upper 60s as we await our next front.

Beginning tonight and into Friday morning a positively tilted 

trough will bring yet another cold front through the region. No

rain is expected, but much colder air is. Highs are only

forecast to reach the mid to upper 50s across most of the region

with portions of southern SE Missouri and southern west 

Kentucky possibly reaching 60 degrees Friday afternoon. This

colder air will remain in place through the weekend with similar

highs expected. Furthermore, overnight lows will drop to the 

low to mid 30s beginning Friday night and continuing through

Sunday night. With these temperatures a hard freeze is expected

to end the growing season.



Dry conditions will persist for the next several days and into

at least mid next week. High pressure will settle in Monday

allowing for another warm-up into the low to mid 60s through the

middle of next week.





&&



.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...

Issued at 430 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026



The forecast is on track as bases begin to scatter west to east.

Where this occurs and holds overnight, as winds diminish, may

lead to patchy fog; have retained inherited mention and will

monitor evening sky/wind trends toward its fruition (or not) after

06Z. Time/height cross sections indicate FEW-SCT low VFR bases

potential tmrw during the planning phase hours of the forecast

in W to SW flow.



&&



.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

IL...None.

MO...None.

IN...None.

KY...None.



&&



$$



UPDATE... DH

DISCUSSION...AZ

AVIATION... DH