FXUS63 KPAH 020703

AFDPAH



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Paducah KY

203 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Dry and mostly sunny conditions will continue today through 

  the first half of the holiday weekend.



- More comfortable humidity levels will persist through 

  Thursday, then slightly above normal temperatures and higher 

  humidity can be expected for the 4th of July through the 

  weekend. 



- Chances of showers and thunderstorms will return Sunday

  afternoon, with an unsettled weather pattern persisting into 

  early next week.



 &&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 203 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025



High pressure currently centered west of the PAH forecast area

will gradually slide east over the next several days, keeping

our weather dry through Saturday night. Dew points in the middle

to upper 60s and seasonable temperatures through Thursday will 

keep conditions fairly comfortable for early July. Winds will

shift to the south Thursday as the center of the high moves east

of our area. This will push both temperatures and dew points up

a few degrees for the July 4th weekend. High temperatures for

the 4th of July through Sunday will be in the lower 90s with heat

indices generally 3 to 5 degrees above the temperature.



Models continue to bring a cold front toward the middle 

Mississippi and lower Ohio valleys late in the weekend and 

slowly push it south into the PAH forecast are through Tuesday.

Chances of showers and thunderstorms will spread into portions 

of southwest Indiana, southern Illinois and southeast Missouri 

Sunday afternoon into Sunday night, spreading chances across 

west Kentucky Monday. Chances will continue through at least 

Tuesday, with greatest coverage during the heat of the day. 

Temperatures will be a little lower Monday and Tuesday, but it 

will remain humid. 



&&



.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...

Issued at 529 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025



Scattered cu quickly diminishes this evening with a few high 

cirrus clouds overnight. Additional scattered cu around 4-5 kft 

AGL will develop again during peak heating on Wednesday. Light 

winds tonight turn north to northwest around 5 kts by the 

afternoon with high pressure in control.



&&



.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

IL...None.

MO...None.

IN...None.

KY...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...RST

AVIATION...DW