FXUS63 KOAX 221834

AFDOAX



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE

134 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Gusty northerly winds of 20 to 30 mph with 30 to 40 mph gusts

  continue into the afternoon, before tapering off this evening.

  Areas of very high fire danger persist over eastern Nebraska 

  and southwest Iowa today.

 

- Cooler today and Monday with highs in the 50s. There is a low

  (10-30%) chance of light showers on Monday. 



- A warming trend returns for Tuesday through Thursday, with 

  fire weather concerns expected Wednesday and Thursday.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 116 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026



A strong cold front pushed through the region this morning, 

bringing a strong north wind and cloud cover. This cloud cover 

is quickly eroding this afternoon, but the strong winds continue

to linger. Northerly winds of 20 to 30 mph with 30 to 40 mph 

gusts are expected to last through the afternoon before tapering

off this evening. Cooler temperatures have filled in behind the

front as well. Temperatures are anywhere between 40 and 50 

degrees cooler than this time yesterday. That being said, by mid

afternoon, everyone is expected to be near normal in the 50s. 

The cooler temperatures hang on into Monday, but again this ends

up being near normal. A passing shortwave embedded in the flow 

moves across the region Monday afternoon and evening. This 

system is forecast to produce a band of showers that moves 

across the area. The limiting factor will be considerable dry 

air in the low-levels which may prevent most of this rain from 

reaching the ground. That said, have maintained at least a low 

(10-30%) chance of light showers on Monday.



The persistent ridge of high pressure over the southwestern US

will build back north and east Tuesday into Thursday. This will

start another warming trend, quickly bringing well above normal

temperatures back into the forecast. Highs in the upper 60s and

70s are anticipated Tuesday with 80s making a return on

Wednesday. Another weather system will begin to move across the

region on Thursday. Despite this system and accompanying cold

front, temperatures are currently forecast to reach the upper

60s to near 80 across the region prior to the frontal passage.

Temperatures are expected to cool significantly behind this

front. There is a low (10-30%) of showers behind the front

Thursday evening, with a rain/snow mix possible by Friday

morning. This cooler weather is short-lived once again, as

another warming trend ends the work week and the beginning of 

next weekend.



&&



.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...

Issued at 1218 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026



MVFR ceilings this morning are quickly eroding this afternoon.

VFR conditions are expected at all terminals shortly and these

conditions will prevail through the remainder of the forecast.

Gusty north winds behind this morning's cold front continue, but

these winds will gradually weaken through this afternoon. Winds

are expected to become light tonight.



&&



.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

NE...None.

IA...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Chehak

AVIATION...Chehak