FXUS63 KOAX 220436

AFDOAX



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE

1136 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Very high to extreme fire danger continues Saturday afternoon

  into Sunday.



- A cold front Sunday morning brings northerly wind gusts of 35

  to 45 mph. Winds will decrease during the afternoon and

  evening.



- Above normal temperatures continue early next week with

  another warming trend through at least mid-week. Dry

  conditions are anticipated with precipitation chances unlikely

  at this time.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 1259 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026



Saturday and Sunday



Record warmth remains on track for this afternoon. This record-

warmth is supported by a massive area of high pressure over the 

Desert Southwest. Temperatures in the low 90s are likely to break a 

slew of records from 1907 across the area. On top of the hot 

conditions, it is going to be exceptionally dry with relative 

humidity falling into the teens and single digits by mid-afternoon. 

As a result, a Red Flag Warning continues across the region through 

this afternoon into Sunday morning. Thankfully, this level of heat 

is short-lived with a cold front anticipated during the morning 

hours on Sunday. The cold front will be strong with northerly wind 

gusts of 35 to 45 mph immediately following frontal passage. Wind 

speeds gradually decrease through the afternoon and evening on 

Sunday. Sunday's high temperatures are forecast to be 30 to nearly 

40 degrees cooler than today, Despite this substantial change, 

temperatures in the upper 50s to low 60s remain above normal. 



Next Week



Temperatures begin to warm once again heading into next week as high 

pressure builds back into the area. Temperatures climb a degree or 

two on Monday. Temperatures climb into the 60s to near 70 on Tuesday 

before climbing further into the 70s to near 80 by Wednesday. 

Alongside this heat, dry conditions are forecast once again. This 

may result in additional very high fire danger across the area. A 

cold front begins to decrease temperatures on Thursday before 

temperatures fall further on Friday. The cooler temperatures may 

last into next weekend behind this second cold front. Overall, the 

forecast remains mostly dry. While there may be a low chance of a 

shower or two with the passing fronts, it is unlikely that anyone 

will see anything meaningful. The next best chance of precipitation 

is not anticipated until late next week into next weekend.



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...

Issued at 1130 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026



VFR conditions are expected to prevail throughout the forecast

period, with winds the primary concern. LLWS will prevail at

KOMA and KLNK into the early morning hours as a low-level jet

brings 40-50 kt gusts to FL015. Calm southwesterly winds 

persist ahead of a cold front surging southward across the area.

The front will quickly shift winds to northerly with increasing

winds behind the front. Gust of 25-35 kts will continue behind 

the front through the bulk of the afternoon, gradually calming 

into the evening. Mid-level cloud cover will also increase

behind the front.



&&



.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

NE...Red Flag Warning until 4 AM CDT Sunday for NEZ011-012-015>018-

     030>034-042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093.

IA...Red Flag Warning until 4 AM CDT Sunday for IAZ043-055-056-069-

     079-080-090-091.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Chehak

AVIATION...Wood