FXUS63 KMPX 221945 AFDMPX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 245 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Rising temperatures through midweek, falling to end the week. - No major weather systems over the next 7 days. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 231 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026 Clouds have been slow to clear out this afternoon, resulting in a chilly day after yesterday's record warmth. Temperatures have remained into he 30s this afternoon, & any chance we'll have of reaching the 40s depends on if we can see some breaks in the cloud cover develop before the afternoon is done. Clouds are eventually expected to clear by this evening, leading to a cold night as winds go calm as well & lows fall into the low to mid 20s by tomorrow morning. Temepratures take on a warming trend through midweek though as strong ridging builds back over the southwest & central CONUS & ensemble guidance suggests temperature anomalies of 10-15 degrees above normal. This ridging pushes the jet stream well north of our area, along with the track of any storm systems, with an area of low pressure skirting along the US-Canada border later in the week the only real upcoming weather system of note. A cold front move through the region overnight Wednesday into Thursday, with a band of showers & light rain likely behind the frontal passage.Temperatures return to below-normal values behind the front for Friday & into the weekend, but ensemble guidance suggests we'll only see temperature anomalies around 5 degrees below normal. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1211 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026 Winds have started to calm and ceilings will start to rise early in this period. These midlevel MVFR ceilings will lift later this afternoon with VFR expected for the remainder of the period. Winds will remain from a northerly direction today before becoming lighter overnight and shifting to the south tomorrow. KMSP...No additional concerns. /OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ TUE...VFR. Wind SE 5-10 kts. WED...VFR. Wind E 5-10 kts. THU...VFR. S Chc -RA/MVFR. Wind NW 10-20 kts. && .MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...None. WI...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...ETA AVIATION...NDC