FXUS63 KMPX 051124

AFDMPX



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN

524 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Drier conditions are expected through the period with above

  average temperatures returning late in the weekend.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 237 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026



Some lingering showers/drizzle continue across portions of 

eastern/southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin early this morning. 

This precip is being pushed to the south-southeast as a Canadian 

surface high builds in to the northwest. This has led to an uptick 

in northwesterly winds, with gusts of 20-30 MPH across the eastern 

Dakotas and Minnesota. Winds will trend down through late morning as 

the pressure gradient relaxes. This feature will continue to help 

get the last of the precip out of here (finally!), but clouds will 

likely be more stubborn. A new bank of stratus is diving south 

across northwestern Minnesota and eastern North Dakota. Eventually 

drier air will filter in and we should start to see breaks in the 

clouds late tonight into Friday. Northwest flow will make today and 

Friday fairly chilly with highs in the 40s. Saturday will start off 

in the 20s area wide, but should recover into the upper 40s to mid 

50s during the afternoon. Sunday will be a few degrees warmer with 

low 60s to start off the work week. These warmer temperatures will 

be accompanied by dry conditions through the remainder of the 

period.



&&



.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...

Issued at 514 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026



Aside from some light drizzle/fog for eastern/southern Minnesota

and western Wisconsin, precip has ended. Overcast skies 

continue through this evening, but ceilings will start to come 

back up over the next few hours to MVFR. Winds are still on the 

breezy side for western Minnesota, but they will be trending 

down through the day. Winds go northerly for all by tonight with

speeds at 10kts or less. The return to VFR cigs is a little 

more uncertain, but some terminals will likely see it before the

end of the period.



KMSP...As mentioned above, the -DZ/BR should be coming to an end

within the next hour or two. Otherwise, expecting continued 

MVFR cigs and northwest winds of 10-20kts. VFR expected by early

tomorrow morning with light northerly winds.





/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ 

FRI...VFR. Wind NE 5 kts.

SAT...VFR. Wind SW 5-10 kts.

SUN...VFR. Wind W 5 kts.



&&



.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MN...None.

WI...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Dye

AVIATION...Dye