FXUS63 KICT 270756 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 256 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Areas of fog and light drizzle expected again this morning. - More rain tonight and into Wednesday, with strong winds arriving by Tuesday afternoon. - Seasonably cool afternoon temperatures this week, with subfreezing low temperatures possible in central Kansas on Wednesday night. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 253 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025 Currently, an upper level trough is located to our east over the Middle Mississippi Valley as it exits the region and the next trough is currently digging into the Northern Plains. The surface low that slowly traversed the Central Plains continues to march to the east into the Lower Mississippi Valley as high pressure begins to build over the region. An extremely moist airmass remains anchored in place and much of the state will remained socked in low clouds and mist/fog through the morning hours due to the low temperature and dewpoint spreads. The next trough will dig into the Central Plains later tonight and will send a cold front sweeping across the forecast area after midnight. This boundary will bring more rain and isolated thunderstorm chances to the area as a broken line of convection develops ahead of the front in central Kansas and progresses southeastward through the morning and afternoon hours. Instability with this system looks minimal, so it is expected that most activity will remain showery, though a few rumbles of thunder cannot be ruled out. As a piece of energy from the upper-level trough separates from the main feature, it will dive across the Mississippi Valley on Tuesday into Wednesday. The corresponding surface low will deepen significantly to our east and the pressure gradient across the state will tighten in response. This will lead to very windy conditions for Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday. Sustained winds across the forecast area up to 30 mph and gusts in excess of 40 mph. Because of this lingering low to our east, a few pesky showers will continue to impact eastern Kansas through Tuesday night and into the day Wednesday. As the low slowly drifts east into the Tennessee Valley on Wednesday night, the showers will come to an end for southeast Kansas and the winds will subside. Behind this system, northwest flow returns with only a few minor perturbations passing over the region. Dry weather and only a few clouds are expected for the end of the week into the weekend. Temperatures throughout the upcoming work week will remain seasonably cool with afternoon highs reaching into the 50s to lower 60s. Overnight lows tonight will fall into the 40s to lower 50s. With the passage of the frontal boundary on Tuesday, overnight lows for Tuesday night through the end of the week will dip into 30s for most spots. Locations in central Kansas could see sub-freezing temperatures on Wednesday night. A slight warmup is possible for next weekend as an upper-level ridge builds into the region when we could see highs rebound into the upper 60s to lower 70s by Sunday with lows remaining in 40s. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1219 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025 Low clouds and occasional visibility restriction expected to impact aviation interests. Currently, widespread IFR ceilings continue to overspread much of the area with fluctuations down to IFR and up to MVFR occurring at times. Patchy areas of very light drizzle or mist are also continuing to float around the area, and this may occasionally bring vis cats down to MVFR or IFR at some sites. These conditions should persist well into the morning hours, then a gradual improvement is forecast towards the end of the TAF period with all sites likely experiencing MVFR conditions mainly driven by low cloud cover. Additionally, after 06Z tonight (Tuesday morning), chances for showers, and maybe a few storms, will be on the increase. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AMD AVIATION...JC