FXUS63 KICT 121138

AFDICT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Wichita KS

538 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Cooler temperatures expected today and a reinforcing shot of

  cold air this weekend with teens for Sat. night/Sun. morning. 



- Moderating temperatures are expected for much of next week

  with the dry conditions persisting.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 206 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025



Currently, broad scale upper-level northwesterly flow is present 

over the region. In the mid-levels, a short wave trough is visible 

that is dragging a cold front across the Central Plains early this 

morning. At the surface, winds have already turned out of the north 

for most of our central and south-central Kansas counties, with far 

southern and southeastern Kansas to follow suite shortly. While a 

cool down is forecast behind this frontal boundary, temperatures 

will return close to normal for this time of year for today with 

highs topping out in the 40s areawide. Little moisture is present 

with this front therefore no precip is expected, though some lower 

level stratus may be possible across our central Kansas counties 

through the afternoon.



For this weekend, a more potent upper level trough will sweep across 

the Great Lakes region on Saturday. This feature will send another, 

reinforcing cold front across the area on Saturday afternoon. Prior 

to the colder air arriving, temperatures will be able to warm into 

the 40s areawide. However, behind the front on Saturday night 

temperatures will tumble into the teens. Then, highs on Sunday will 

only warm into the upper 20s to lower 30s. As has been the pattern 

of late, the much colder air will be confined to our east and our 

colder temperatures will be fleeting.



As we move into early next week, stout ridging and northwesterly 

flow will build back over the region. Temperatures will quickly 

rebound with highs on Monday near normal to slightly above normal 

with highs reaching into the upper 40s. Warmer and more mild weather 

will continue through the end of the week as broad ridging dominates 

the pattern. Highs in the 50s and 60s with lows in the 30s and 40s 

are expected as there is quite a bit of agreement across models. A 

couple of benign perturbations in the pattern are possible through 

the week leading to slight variations in temperatures and occasional 

cloud cover. Overall, we are expected to remain dry throughout the 

forecast period.



&&



.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...

Issued at 527 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025



Northerly winds for all sites behind a frontal boundary that

moved through overnight. Gusts between 20-25 knots will continue

for south-central Kansas locations through this morning,

beginning to diminish this afternoon. Lower cigs will impact 

central Kansas locations later this morning and through the

afternoon. Current model guidance keeps cigs just above MVFR

levels, but can't rule out MVFR conditions between 16-00Z in

central Kansas. Ceilings will lift and winds will turn

easterly between 00-06Z.



&&



.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...AMD

AVIATION...AMD