FXUS63 KICT 120450

AFDICT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Wichita KS

1050 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- A surge of cold air will arrive on Friday while getting

  reinforced on Sat-Sun. Highs on Sunday will struggle to climb

  out of the 20s for most areas. 



- Moderating temperatures are expected for much of next week

  with the dry conditions persisting.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 138 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025



Mild and dry conditions are present over the area today as we remain 

in northwest mid/upper flow. A shortwave trough digging across the 

Upper Mississippi Valley area will drive a cold front south across 

the area tonight. This front will usher in more seasonable air 

across the area on Friday with breezy northwest winds. Afternoon 

highs on Friday are expected to top out in the mid and upper 40s for 

most areas. 



Sat-Sun...Another more vigorous mid/upper trough is progged to move 

over the Great Lakes area on Saturday sending a reinforcing shot of 

cold air south into the Central Plains. Higher probabilities for low 

clouds and wintry precipitation are expected to remain well 

north of the region. Thankfully, the coldest air will be shunted

eastward with only a glancing blow centered on Sunday with 

highs struggling to climb out of the 20s in many areas.



Mon-Thu...moderating temperatures will return early in the week with 

dry weather prevailing once again. Above average temperatures are 

expected for much of the week, peaking on Wed with values 

climbing into the 60s. Another front may arrive toward the end 

of the week ushering in some cooler air.



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...

Issued at 1047 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025



VFR conditions are expected through much of the period. A cold

front will move across the terminals this evening and overnight,

shifting winds from the north at 10-15 kt. A period of MVFR CIGS

cannot be entirely ruled out Friday morning, especially across

central KS. Latest HREF probabilities have increased slightly

with MVFR CIG probabilities near 30 percent across central KS

after 12Z, continuing through mid to late afternoon. Otherwise,

winds will become light and variable late Friday

afternoon/evening.





&&



.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...MWM

AVIATION...BRF