FXUS63 KICT 100357

AFDICT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Wichita KS

1057 PM CDT Fri May 9 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Mostly quiet, dry conditions over the next 7 days



- Above normal temperatures next week



- Possibility to return to more active weather pattern next

  weekend?



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 241 PM CDT Fri May 9 2025



Currently, water vapor imagery displays an upper-level low in the 

Central Appalachians with another upper trough in the Southern 

Plains slowly traversing to the Lower Mississippi Valley. 

Additionally, there is an upper-level ridge building into the Upper 

Mississippi Valley. This ridge will shift easterly flow aloft to 

northeast flow aloft by early Saturday morning, yielding a warming 

trend and dry conditions. Weekend high temperatures will be in the 

upper 70s to lower 80s with low temperatures in the upper 40s to 

lower 50s. 



As the upper trough lifts out of the southeast on Monday, it is 

possible for rain showers/storms to clip our far most eastern 

counties Monday afternoon, though uncertainty is high. Strong to 

severe storms are not anticipated with the main precipitation from 

this system staying off to the east. High temperatures on Monday 

will be similar to the weekend temperatures. By Monday night, flow 

aloft will shift to the northwest as a shortwave ridge continues to 

track east. At the surface, thickness will continue to increase, 

supporting temperatures warming more. High temperatures on Tuesday 

will be in the low to mid 80s before rising into the upper 80s and 

lower 90s on Wednesday. By late Wednesday, the next upper-level 

trough will move into the Central Rockies, shifting flow aloft to 

the southwest. Temperatures will remain in the 80s late next week 

into the weekend. Quiet conditions may come to an end next weekend 

as models continue to hint at a more active weather pattern.



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS Through 06Z SUNDAY/... 

Issued at 1040 PM CDT Fri May 9 2025



Aviation concerns will remain minimal through the next 24 hours

and likely beyond. 



Surface high pressure has settled over the area and will remain

in place through Sat, providing clear skies and light winds. So

confidence remains high that VFR conditions will remain in place

through the next 24 hours. 



&&



.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...ADK/GC

AVIATION...RBL