FXUS63 KICT 090704

AFDICT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Wichita KS

204 AM CDT Fri May 9 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Mostly dry conditions over the next 7 days



- Taste of summer for the middle of next week



- A return to an active weather pattern late next week?



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 200 AM CDT Fri May 9 2025



As of 2 AM Friday morning, an elongated midlevel trough continues to 

slowly move south across the southeastern half of the US. Meanwhile, 

a ridge axis is building across the northern Plains. The 

aforementioned midlevel trough will ultimately becoming a cutoff low 

across the lower MS valley by tonight. The midlevel pattern will 

remain stagnant throughout out the weekend, yielding dry conditions 

with a gradual warming trend. Temperatures will top out in the 70s 

areawide today with 70s and 80s expected for Saturday and 

Sunday.



By early next week, a western CONUS trough will shunt the cutoff low 

eastward, allowing southwesterly midlevel flow to return by midweek. 

A shortwave ridge axis will slide overhead Tuesday and Wednesday 

with temperatures surging in the upper 80s/low 90s. As prior 

forecasts have alluded to, mid to long range ensemble guidance 

continues to point towards a more-active weather pattern towards the 

end of next week into the following weekend. Stay tuned!



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...

Issued at 1048 PM CDT Thu May 8 2025



Aviation concerns are expected to remain on the low side through

the next 24 hours. 



Diurnally driven showers and storms diminished a couple hours

after sunset, leaving widespread VFR conditions in place.

Confidence is high that VFR conditions will remain in place

through the next 24 hours. Winds will remain light and will

eventually turn to the northeast by early Fri afternoon.



&&



.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...BRF

AVIATION...RBL